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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Gokhan Saki won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Elo1362
Henrique da Silva editorial illustration

Gokhan SakivsHenrique da SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · Friday, September 22, 2017Saitama, Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Gokhan Saki won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:45

Style matchupGokhan Saki: Pressure fightervsHenrique da Silva: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Henrique da Silva wins(58.3%)

Actual result: Gokhan Saki wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Henrique da Silva at +170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Henrique da Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Gokhan Saki is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Henrique da Silva has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Gokhan Saki has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Gokhan Saki has 78pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Gokhan Saki
Red Corner
VS
Henrique da Silva
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
1491
Elo
1362
42
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gokhan Saki
oldest →
L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Jul 18
latest
Henrique da SilvaL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Jonathan Wilson · Jun 16
W
SUBvs Joachim Christensen · Oct 16
L
SUBvs Paul Craig · Dec 16
L
vs Jordan Johnson · Jan 17
L
KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Jun 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gokhan SakiMetricHenrique da Silva
7.09
Strikes / min
3.89
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
5.28
53%
Strike defense
40%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.25
100%
Takedown defense
22%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.52Δ 3.91 — meaningful gap-1.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1481Strikes— vs 32.8Takedowns— vs 0.2Sub Atts— vs 0.20Form0.0 vs -0.5
Gokhan SakiHenrique da Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Gokhan Saki(2 fights)Henrique da Silva(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +129.3|Blue -129.3
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red +47.0|Blue -47.0
Grappler Score
Red +49.9|Blue -49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gokhan SakiTargetHenrique da Silva

By target zone

35
58% acc · 88%
Head
16
40% acc · 80%
2
67% acc · 5%
Body
4
80% acc · 20%
3
100% acc · 8%
Leg
0

By position

39
60% acc · 98%
Distance
12
32% acc · 60%
1
100% acc · 3%
Clinch
8
100% acc · 40%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Gokhan Saki rounds
0
even
0
Henrique da Silva rounds
Round 1Gokhan Saki edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:08
Knockdowns2
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2
KD
0
40 / 66
Sig Strikes
20 / 45
60%
Sig Str %
44%
40 / 66
Total Strikes
21 / 46
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:08
Ctrl Time
0:32

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Henrique da Silva20 / 4521 / 460 / 10
1Gokhan Saki40 / 6640 / 660 / 00

Gokhan Saki

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2

Henrique da Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6