Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Featherweight
3 Rounds
Sam Sicilia won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1364
Elo1359
Sam Sicilia

Godofredo PepeyvsSam SiciliaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · Saturday, November 9, 2013Goiania, Goias, Brazil

Official fight result

Sam Sicilia won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:42

Model Prediction: Sam Sicilia wins(57.2%)

Actual result: Sam Sicilia wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sam Sicilia at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Sam Sicilia enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Sam Sicilia is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Godofredo Pepey has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Godofredo Pepey threatens submissions; Sam Sicilia has lost 43% of fights by sub.
  • Sam Sicilia has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Sam Sicilia has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Godofredo Pepey has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Godofredo Pepey
Red Corner
VS
Sam Sicilia
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
1364
Elo
1359
39
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Godofredo PepeyL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Andre Fili · Mar 15
L
vs Darren Elkins · Jul 16
W
SUBvs Mike de la Torre · Sep 16
L
vs Shane Burgos · Jul 17
L
KOvs Mirsad Bektic · Jan 18
latest
Sam SiciliaL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Akira Corassani · Jan 15
W
vs Yaotzin Meza · Jul 15
L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Nov 15
L
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Sep 16
L
vs Gavin Tucker · Feb 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Godofredo PepeyMetricSam Sicilia
2.32
Strikes / min
2.46
3.23
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
47%
Strike defense
59%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
1.45
35%
Takedown defense
70%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.91evenly matched on net striking-1.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1485 vs 1486Strikes24.0 vs 32.7Takedowns0.3 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.33 vs 0.33Form-0.3 vs -0.6
Godofredo PepeySam Sicilia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Godofredo Pepey(10 fights)Sam Sicilia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +4.3|Blue -4.3
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Godofredo PepeyTargetSam Sicilia

By target zone

3
60% acc · 100%
Head
11
79% acc · 100%
0
Body
0
0% acc
0
Leg
0

By position

1
33% acc · 33%
Distance
0
0% acc
2
100% acc · 67%
Clinch
0
0
Ground
11
79% acc · 100%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Godofredo Pepey rounds
0
even
1
Sam Sicilia rounds
Round 1Sam Sicilia edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:11
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:54Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
3 / 5
Sig Strikes
11 / 15
60%
Sig Str %
73%
4 / 6
Total Strikes
18 / 22
0 / 2
TDs
1 / 1
0%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:11
Ctrl Time
0:54

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Sam Sicilia11 / 1518 / 221 / 10
1Godofredo Pepey3 / 54 / 60 / 20

Godofredo Pepey

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11

Sam Sicilia

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights12