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Featherweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Rony Jason won · U-DEC R3

Elo1364

Elo1360

Godofredo PepeyvsRony JasonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · Saturday, June 23, 2012Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil

Official fight result

Rony Jason won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Rony Jason wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Rony Jason wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rony Jason at -260 American odds

+$38 profit

$138 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rony Jason enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Rony Jason is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Godofredo Pepey has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Godofredo Pepey

Red Corner

Rony Jason

Blue Corner

+240

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-260

(72%)

1364

Elo

1360

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

185.42 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Godofredo PepeyL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Andre Fili · Mar 15

vs Darren Elkins · Jul 16

SUBvs Mike de la Torre · Sep 16

vs Shane Burgos · Jul 17

KOvs Mirsad Bektic · Jan 18

latest

Rony JasonL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jeremy Stephens · Nov 13

KOvs Steven Siler · Mar 14

vs Robert Peralta · May 14

vs Dennis Bermudez · Aug 16

vs Jeremy Kennedy · Mar 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Godofredo PepeyMetricRony Jason

2.32

Strikes / min

2.04

3.23

Strikes absorbed / min

3.14

47%

Strike defense

53%

0.37

TDs / 15 min

0.59

35%

Takedown defense

36%

1.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.91evenly matched on net striking-1.10

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Godofredo Pepey(10 fights)Rony Jason(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.1|Blue -4.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Godofredo PepeyTargetRony Jason

By target zone

26% acc · 50%

Head

28% acc · 36%

67% acc · 19%

Body

73% acc · 44%

77% acc · 31%

Leg

88% acc · 19%

By position

34% acc · 75%

Distance

40% acc · 69%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

50% acc · 6%

64% acc · 22%

Ground

100% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Godofredo Pepey rounds

even

Rony Jason rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:30

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:04Control

Round 2Rony Jason edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:54Control

Round 3Rony Jason edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:35

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 83

Sig Strikes

36 / 76

39.7%

Sig Str %

45%

74 / 129

Total Strikes

60 / 100

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 2

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:05

Ctrl Time

4:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rony Jason	5 / 14	20 / 29	0 / 0	0
1	Godofredo Pepey	10 / 21	27 / 38	0 / 1	1
2	Rony Jason	16 / 29	16 / 29	0 / 0	0
2	Godofredo Pepey	10 / 24	31 / 46	0 / 1	0
3	Rony Jason	15 / 33	24 / 42	0 / 2	0
3	Godofredo Pepey	12 / 38	16 / 45	0 / 2	0

Godofredo Pepey

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights11

Rony Jason

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8