Featherweight

3 Rounds

Godofredo Pepey won · S-DEC R3

Elo1364

Elo1490

Godofredo PepeyvsMilton VieiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · Saturday, January 19, 2013Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Godofredo Pepey won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Godofredo Pepey wins(59.9%)

Actual result: Godofredo Pepey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Godofredo Pepey at +155 American odds

+$155 profit

$255 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Godofredo Pepey has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Godofredo Pepey

Red Corner

Milton Vieira

Blue Corner

+155

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-165

(62%)

1364

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Godofredo PepeyL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Andre Fili · Mar 15

vs Darren Elkins · Jul 16

SUBvs Mike de la Torre · Sep 16

vs Shane Burgos · Jul 17

KOvs Mirsad Bektic · Jan 18

latest

Milton VieiraNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Godofredo PepeyMetricMilton Vieira

2.32

Strikes / min

1.13

3.23

Strikes absorbed / min

2.36

47%

Strike defense

48%

0.37

TDs / 15 min

2.67

35%

Takedown defense

12%

1.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.91evenly matched on net striking-1.23

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Godofredo PepeyMilton Vieira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Godofredo Pepey(10 fights)Milton Vieira(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -126.5|Blue +126.5

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Godofredo PepeyTargetMilton Vieira

By target zone

32% acc · 50%

Head

32% acc · 47%

100% acc · 14%

Body

100% acc · 35%

87% acc · 36%

Leg

100% acc · 18%

By position

41% acc · 72%

Distance

43% acc · 71%

67% acc · 11%

Clinch

100% acc · 18%

100% acc · 17%

Ground

67% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Godofredo Pepey rounds

even

Milton Vieira rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:21

4Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:49Control

Round 2Godofredo Pepey edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control3:15

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:27Control

Round 3Milton Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:36

12Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:44Control

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 76

Sig Strikes

17 / 34

53%

Sig Str %

63.3%

104 / 153

Total Strikes

58 / 84

0 / 1

TDs

5 / 6

TD %

88.7%

Sub Att

Rev

4:12

Ctrl Time

6:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Milton Vieira	4 / 11	20 / 28	2 / 3
1	Godofredo Pepey	14 / 27	18 / 31	0 / 0
2	Milton Vieira	1 / 1	5 / 8	1 / 1
2	Godofredo Pepey	8 / 11	62 / 70	0 / 0
3	Milton Vieira	12 / 22	33 / 48	2 / 2
3	Godofredo Pepey	14 / 38	24 / 52	0 / 1

Godofredo Pepey

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights11

Milton Vieira

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach—

Fights1