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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Godofredo Pepey won · SUB R1
Elo1364
Elo1360
Mike de la Torre

Godofredo PepeyvsMike de la TorreUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · Saturday, September 24, 2016Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil

Official fight result

Godofredo Pepey won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:03

Model Prediction: Mike de la Torre wins(59.9%)

Actual result: Godofredo Pepey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike de la Torre at -110 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Godofredo Pepey enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Mike de la Torre is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Godofredo Pepey has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Mike de la Torre has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Godofredo Pepey
Red Corner
VS
Mike de la Torre
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
1364
Elo
1360
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Godofredo PepeyL3 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Dashon Johnson · Sep 14
W
SUBvs Andre Fili · Mar 15
L
vs Darren Elkins · Jul 16
L
vs Shane Burgos · Jul 17
L
KOvs Mirsad Bektic · Jan 18
latest
Mike de la Torre
oldest →
L
vs Mark Bocek · Apr 14
W
KOvs Tiago Trator · Feb 15
L
KOvs Maximo Blanco · Jul 15
W
vs Yui Chul Nam · Nov 15
L
KOvs Myles Jury · Apr 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Godofredo PepeyMetricMike de la Torre
2.32
Strikes / min
3.21
3.23
Strikes absorbed / min
4.75
47%
Strike defense
51%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
0.36
35%
Takedown defense
83%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.91evenly matched on net striking-1.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1505 vs 1501Strikes13.6 vs 25.4Takedowns0.1 vs 0.2Sub Atts0.75 vs 0.00Form-0.3 vs 0.3
Godofredo PepeyMike de la Torre

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Godofredo Pepey(10 fights)Mike de la Torre(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +3.8|Blue -3.8
Recent Form
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -238.0|Blue +238.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Godofredo PepeyTargetMike de la Torre

By target zone

22
61% acc · 92%
Head
6
33% acc · 100%
2
67% acc · 8%
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

14
54% acc · 58%
Distance
6
33% acc · 100%
10
91% acc · 42%
Clinch
0
0
0% acc
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Godofredo Pepey rounds
0
even
0
Mike de la Torre rounds
Round 1Godofredo Pepey edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control1:34
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
24 / 39
Sig Strikes
6 / 18
61%
Sig Str %
33%
27 / 43
Total Strikes
17 / 30
1 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
50%
TD %
—
2
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:34
Ctrl Time
0:14

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Mike de la Torre6 / 1817 / 300 / 00
1Godofredo Pepey24 / 3927 / 431 / 22

Godofredo Pepey

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11

Mike de la Torre

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6