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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Godofredo Pepey won · SUB R1
Elo1364
Elo1479
Andre Fili

Godofredo PepeyvsAndre FiliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · Saturday, March 21, 2015Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Godofredo Pepey won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:14

Model Prediction: Andre Fili wins(61.3%)

Actual result: Godofredo Pepey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Fili at -325 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Andre Fili has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Godofredo Pepey
Red Corner
VS
Andre Fili
Blue Corner
+265
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-325
(76%)
1364
Elo
1479
39
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Godofredo PepeyL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Dashon Johnson · Sep 14
L
vs Darren Elkins · Jul 16
W
SUBvs Mike de la Torre · Sep 16
L
vs Shane Burgos · Jul 17
L
KOvs Mirsad Bektic · Jan 18
latest
Andre FiliL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24
L
SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25
W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25
L
vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26
L
KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Godofredo PepeyMetricAndre Fili
2.32
Strikes / min
3.88
3.23
Strikes absorbed / min
4.34
47%
Strike defense
50%
0.37
TDs / 15 min
2.32
35%
Takedown defense
71%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.91evenly matched on net striking-0.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1502 vs 1515Strikes14.7 vs 47.0Takedowns0.2 vs 3.0Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.33Form0.4 vs 0.4
Godofredo PepeyAndre Fili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Godofredo Pepey(10 fights)Andre Fili(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -115.6|Blue +115.6
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Godofredo PepeyTargetAndre Fili

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
0
0% acc
0
Body
1
50% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 100%
Leg
0

By position

1
25% acc · 100%
Distance
0
0% acc
0
Clinch
1
50% acc · 100%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Godofredo Pepey rounds
0
even
1
Andre Fili rounds
Round 1Andre Fili edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:10
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:09Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
1 / 4
Sig Strikes
1 / 6
25%
Sig Str %
16%
5 / 8
Total Strikes
3 / 9
0 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
—
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:10
Ctrl Time
2:09

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Andre Fili1 / 63 / 90 / 00
1Godofredo Pepey1 / 45 / 80 / 21

Godofredo Pepey

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights26