Light Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Glover Teixeira won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1450

Elo1366

Glover TeixeiravsRashad EvansUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · Saturday, April 16, 2016Tampa, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Glover Teixeira won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:48

Style matchupGlover Teixeira: WrestlervsRashad Evans: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Glover Teixeira wins(68.9%)

Actual result: Glover Teixeira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Glover Teixeira at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rashad Evans enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Rashad Evans has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Glover Teixeira

Red Corner

Rashad Evans

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1450

Elo

1366

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Glover TeixeiraL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20

SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20

SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21

SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22

vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23

latest

Rashad EvansL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chael Sonnen · Nov 13

vs Ryan Bader · Oct 15

vs Daniel Kelly · Mar 17

vs Sam Alvey · Aug 17

KOvs Anthony Smith · Jun 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Glover TeixeiraMetricRashad Evans

3.73

Strikes / min

2.14

4.43

Strikes absorbed / min

2.42

51%

Strike defense

63%

2.11

TDs / 15 min

2.98

60%

Takedown defense

73%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70evenly matched on net striking-0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Glover TeixeiraRashad Evans

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Glover Teixeira(10 fights)Rashad Evans(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +84.1|Blue -84.1

Recent Form

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Glover TeixeiraTargetRashad Evans

By target zone

31% acc · 83%

Head

50% acc · 100%

100% acc · 17%

Body

Leg

By position

25% acc · 50%

Distance

45% acc · 71%

100% acc · 33%

Clinch

67% acc · 29%

33% acc · 17%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Glover Teixeira rounds

even

Rashad Evans rounds

Round 1Glover Teixeira edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

6 / 17

Sig Strikes

7 / 14

35%

Sig Str %

50%

7 / 18

Total Strikes

8 / 15

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rashad Evans	7 / 14	8 / 15	0 / 0	0
1	Glover Teixeira	6 / 17	7 / 18	0 / 0	0

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights23

Rashad Evans

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12