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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Glover Teixeira won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1450

Elo1373

Glover TeixeiravsPatrick CumminsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · Saturday, November 7, 2015Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Glover Teixeira won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:12

Style matchupGlover Teixeira: WrestlervsPatrick Cummins: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Patrick Cummins wins(52.1%)

Actual result: Glover Teixeira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Patrick Cummins at +415 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Glover Teixeira has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Glover Teixeira

Red Corner

Patrick Cummins

Blue Corner

-525

(84%)

Vegas Odds

+415

(19%)

1450

Elo

1373

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'2"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Glover TeixeiraL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20

SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20

SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21

SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22

vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23

latest

Patrick CumminsL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 17

vs Gian Villante · Jul 17

vs Corey Anderson · Apr 18

SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 18

KOvs Ed Herman · May 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Glover TeixeiraMetricPatrick Cummins

3.73

Strikes / min

4.26

4.43

Strikes absorbed / min

3.35

51%

Strike defense

55%

2.11

TDs / 15 min

4.49

60%

Takedown defense

28%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap+0.91

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Glover TeixeiraPatrick Cummins

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Glover Teixeira(10 fights)Patrick Cummins(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +77.0|Blue -77.0

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Glover TeixeiraTargetPatrick Cummins

By target zone

52% acc · 94%

Head

29% acc · 70%

75% acc · 6%

Body

100% acc · 21%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

52% acc · 93%

Distance

30% acc · 67%

67% acc · 7%

Clinch

65% acc · 33%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Glover Teixeira rounds

even

Patrick Cummins rounds

Round 1Patrick Cummins edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:02

30Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

1:21Control

Round 2Glover Teixeira edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:12

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 102

Sig Strikes

33 / 90

53%

Sig Str %

30%

59 / 107

Total Strikes

38 / 95

0 / 1

TDs

4 / 6

TD %

40%

Sub Att

Rev

0:14

Ctrl Time

1:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Patrick Cummins	30 / 75	35 / 80	4 / 5
1	Glover Teixeira	32 / 63	34 / 65	0 / 1
2	Patrick Cummins	3 / 15	3 / 15	0 / 1
2	Glover Teixeira	22 / 39	25 / 42	0 / 0

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights23

Patrick Cummins

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights13