Light Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Glover Teixeira won · SUB R3

Elo1450

Elo1497

Glover TeixeiravsOvince Saint PreuxUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · Saturday, August 8, 2015Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Glover Teixeira won

SUB · Round 3 · 3:10

Style matchupGlover Teixeira: WrestlervsOvince Saint Preux: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Glover Teixeira wins(52.9%)

Actual result: Glover Teixeira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Glover Teixeira at +120 American odds

+$120 profit

$220 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Glover Teixeira threatens submissions; Ovince Saint Preux has lost 31% of fights by sub.
Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
Ovince Saint Preux has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Glover Teixeira

Red Corner

Ovince Saint Preux

Blue Corner

+120

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-140

(58%)

1450

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Glover TeixeiraL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20

SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20

SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21

SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22

vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23

latest

Ovince Saint Preux

oldest →

KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Mauricio Rua · May 22

KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24

SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Glover TeixeiraMetricOvince Saint Preux

3.73

Strikes / min

3.03

4.43

Strikes absorbed / min

3.33

51%

Strike defense

47%

2.11

TDs / 15 min

1.09

60%

Takedown defense

67%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70evenly matched on net striking-0.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Glover TeixeiraOvince Saint Preux

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Glover Teixeira(10 fights)Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -47.3|Blue +47.3

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +175.0|Blue -175.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Glover TeixeiraTargetOvince Saint Preux

By target zone

67% acc · 91%

Head

45% acc · 60%

71% acc · 9%

Body

86% acc · 40%

Leg

By position

50% acc · 21%

Distance

54% acc · 63%

67% acc · 8%

Clinch

56% acc · 30%

75% acc · 72%

Ground

67% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Glover Teixeira rounds

even

Ovince Saint Preux rounds

Round 1Glover Teixeira edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns3

Control2:41

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:26Control

Round 2Glover Teixeira edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control3:44

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Glover Teixeira edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control2:22

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

53 / 79

Sig Strikes

30 / 54

67.3%

Sig Str %

54%

128 / 162

Total Strikes

36 / 61

5 / 9

TDs

0 / 3

52.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

8:47

Ctrl Time

1:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ovince Saint Preux	13 / 22	18 / 27	0 / 1	0
1	Glover Teixeira	15 / 24	33 / 43	3 / 4	0
2	Ovince Saint Preux	14 / 26	15 / 28	0 / 0	0
2	Glover Teixeira	23 / 35	54 / 70	1 / 2	0
3	Ovince Saint Preux	3 / 6	3 / 6	0 / 2	0
3	Glover Teixeira	15 / 20	41 / 49	1 / 3	1

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights23

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights28