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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Glover Teixeira won · S-DEC R3

Elo1450

Elo1485

Glover TeixeiravsNikita KrylovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · Saturday, September 14, 2019Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Glover Teixeira won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGlover Teixeira: WrestlervsNikita Krylov: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Glover Teixeira wins(53.8%)

Actual result: Glover Teixeira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Glover Teixeira at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Glover Teixeira threatens submissions; Nikita Krylov has lost 40% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Glover Teixeira

Red Corner

Nikita Krylov

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1450

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Glover TeixeiraL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20

SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20

SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21

SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22

vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23

latest

Nikita Krylov

oldest →

SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23

KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25

KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25

KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26

KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Glover TeixeiraMetricNikita Krylov

3.73

Strikes / min

4.36

4.43

Strikes absorbed / min

2.59

51%

Strike defense

47%

2.11

TDs / 15 min

2.05

60%

Takedown defense

53%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70Δ 2.47 — meaningful gap+1.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Glover TeixeiraNikita Krylov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Glover Teixeira(10 fights)Nikita Krylov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -35.5|Blue +35.5

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Glover TeixeiraTargetNikita Krylov

By target zone

58% acc · 91%

Head

30% acc · 43%

100% acc · 9%

Body

89% acc · 36%

Leg

100% acc · 21%

By position

49% acc · 51%

Distance

44% acc · 79%

100% acc · 23%

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

69% acc · 26%

Ground

100% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Glover Teixeira rounds

even

Nikita Krylov rounds

Round 1Nikita Krylov edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control2:41

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:49Control

Round 2Nikita Krylov edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:07

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:44Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control1:32

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:06Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 71

Sig Strikes

47 / 95

65.3%

Sig Str %

59.7%

85 / 119

Total Strikes

74 / 123

1 / 6

TDs

2 / 4

25%

TD %

66.5%

Sub Att

Rev

4:20

Ctrl Time

4:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nikita Krylov	20 / 34	24 / 38	0 / 0	1
1	Glover Teixeira	11 / 24	24 / 40	1 / 2	0
2	Nikita Krylov	23 / 56	35 / 68	1 / 1	0
2	Glover Teixeira	21 / 35	35 / 49	0 / 4	0
3	Nikita Krylov	4 / 5	15 / 17	1 / 3	0
3	Glover Teixeira	11 / 12	26 / 30	0 / 0	2

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights23

Nikita Krylov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights23