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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Glover Teixeira won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1450

Elo1437

Glover TeixeiravsMisha CirkunovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · Saturday, December 16, 2017Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada

Official fight result

Glover Teixeira won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:45

Style matchupGlover Teixeira: WrestlervsMisha Cirkunov: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Glover Teixeira wins(56.1%)

Actual result: Glover Teixeira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Glover Teixeira at +125 American odds

+$125 profit

$225 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Misha Cirkunov has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Glover Teixeira

Red Corner

Misha Cirkunov

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-145

(59%)

1450

Elo

1437

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Glover TeixeiraL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20

SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20

SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21

SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22

vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23

latest

Misha CirkunovL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19

KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 21

vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 21

SUBvs Wellington Turman · Feb 22

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Glover TeixeiraMetricMisha Cirkunov

3.73

Strikes / min

3.86

4.43

Strikes absorbed / min

3.06

51%

Strike defense

57%

2.11

TDs / 15 min

4.15

60%

Takedown defense

76%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70Δ 1.50 — meaningful gap+0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Glover TeixeiraMisha Cirkunov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Glover Teixeira(10 fights)Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.8|Blue -12.8

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Glover TeixeiraTargetMisha Cirkunov

By target zone

63% acc · 92%

Head

42% acc · 71%

50% acc · 8%

Body

80% acc · 19%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

20% acc · 15%

Distance

41% acc · 67%

Clinch

78% acc · 33%

100% acc · 85%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Glover Teixeira rounds

even

Misha Cirkunov rounds

Round 1Misha Cirkunov edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control0:44

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 21

Sig Strikes

21 / 43

61%

Sig Str %

48%

13 / 22

Total Strikes

23 / 46

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:44

Ctrl Time

0:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Misha Cirkunov	21 / 43	23 / 46	0 / 0	0
1	Glover Teixeira	13 / 21	13 / 22	1 / 1	1

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights23

Misha Cirkunov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights13