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Light Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Jamahal Hill won · U-DEC R5

Elo1450

Elo1485

Glover TeixeiravsJamahal HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Saturday, January 21, 2023Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Jamahal Hill won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupGlover Teixeira: WrestlervsJamahal Hill: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jamahal Hill wins(75.3%)

Actual result: Jamahal Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamahal Hill at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Jamahal Hill (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Glover Teixeira

Red Corner

Jamahal Hill

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-145

(59%)

1450

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'4"

193.04 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Glover Teixeira

oldest →

vs Nikita Krylov · Sep 19

KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20

SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20

SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21

SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22

latest

Jamahal HillL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Johnny Walker · Feb 22

KOvs Thiago Santos · Aug 22

KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 24

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Jan 25

vs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Glover TeixeiraMetricJamahal Hill

3.73

Strikes / min

6.19

4.43

Strikes absorbed / min

4.03

51%

Strike defense

44%

2.11

TDs / 15 min

0.00

60%

Takedown defense

73%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70Δ 2.86 — meaningful gap+2.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Glover TeixeiraJamahal Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Glover Teixeira(10 fights)Jamahal Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -35.6|Blue +35.6

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Glover TeixeiraTargetJamahal Hill

By target zone

38% acc · 69%

Head

180

52% acc · 78%

95% acc · 25%

Body

86% acc · 18%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

45% acc · 87%

Distance

188

54% acc · 81%

83% acc · 7%

Clinch

86% acc · 8%

56% acc · 7%

Ground

76% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Glover Teixeira rounds

even

Jamahal Hill rounds

Round 1Jamahal Hill edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:03

46Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jamahal Hill edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control1:16

51Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 3Jamahal Hill edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:13

44Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:34Control

Round 4Jamahal Hill edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:10

79Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 5Even round

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control1:44

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:42Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

75 / 160

Sig Strikes

232 / 402

45.6%

Sig Str %

55.6%

108 / 196

Total Strikes

248 / 419

2 / 17

TDs

0 / 0

14.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:26

Ctrl Time

3:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jamahal Hill	46 / 85	47 / 86	0 / 0
1	Glover Teixeira	12 / 27	14 / 29	0 / 7
2	Jamahal Hill	51 / 91	52 / 92	0 / 0
2	Glover Teixeira	21 / 44	28 / 52	1 / 4
3	Jamahal Hill	44 / 82	51 / 89	0 / 0
3	Glover Teixeira	17 / 30	18 / 31	0 / 3
4	Glover Teixeira	18 / 41	18 / 41	0 / 0
4	Jamahal Hill	79 / 120	79 / 120	0 / 0
5	Jamahal Hill	12 / 24	19 / 32	0 / 0
5	Glover Teixeira	7 / 18	30 / 43	1 / 3

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights23

Jamahal Hill

StanceSouthpaw

Height76.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights11