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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Glover Teixeira won · SUB R2

Elo1450

Elo1498

Glover TeixeiravsIon CutelabaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · Saturday, April 27, 2019Sunrise, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Glover Teixeira won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:37

Style matchupGlover Teixeira: WrestlervsIon Cutelaba: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Glover Teixeira wins(61.7%)

Actual result: Glover Teixeira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Glover Teixeira at -120 American odds

+$83 profit

$183 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Glover Teixeira threatens submissions; Ion Cutelaba has lost 36% of fights by sub.
Ion Cutelaba has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ion Cutelaba (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Glover Teixeira

Red Corner

Ion Cutelaba

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1450

Elo

1498

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Glover TeixeiraL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20

SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20

SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21

SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22

vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23

latest

Ion Cutelaba

oldest →

vs Ivan Erslan · Sep 24

SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25

vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25

SUBvs Oumar Sy · Mar 26

KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Glover TeixeiraMetricIon Cutelaba

3.73

Strikes / min

4.23

4.43

Strikes absorbed / min

3.28

51%

Strike defense

47%

2.11

TDs / 15 min

3.76

60%

Takedown defense

75%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap+0.95

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Glover TeixeiraIon Cutelaba

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Glover Teixeira(10 fights)Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -47.7|Blue +47.7

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -175.0|Blue +175.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Glover TeixeiraTargetIon Cutelaba

By target zone

47% acc · 80%

Head

50% acc · 77%

100% acc · 20%

Body

76% acc · 22%

Leg

100% acc · 1%

By position

42% acc · 53%

Distance

46% acc · 58%

82% acc · 30%

Clinch

80% acc · 27%

63% acc · 17%

Ground

69% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Glover Teixeira rounds

even

Ion Cutelaba rounds

Round 1Ion Cutelaba edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:21

43Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:30Control

Round 2Ion Cutelaba edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:41

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 57

Sig Strikes

74 / 135

51%

Sig Str %

54.5%

35 / 63

Total Strikes

74 / 135

0 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:02

Ctrl Time

0:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ion Cutelaba	43 / 79	43 / 79	0 / 0	0
1	Glover Teixeira	10 / 22	12 / 24	0 / 5	0
2	Ion Cutelaba	31 / 56	31 / 56	0 / 0	0
2	Glover Teixeira	20 / 35	23 / 39	0 / 2	1

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights23

Ion Cutelaba

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights20