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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Glover Teixeira won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1450

Elo1356

Glover TeixeiravsFabio MaldonadoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · Saturday, October 13, 2012Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Glover Teixeira won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 5:00

Style matchupGlover Teixeira: WrestlervsFabio Maldonado: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Fabio Maldonado wins(51.0%)

Actual result: Glover Teixeira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Fabio Maldonado at +420 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Glover Teixeira

Red Corner

Fabio Maldonado

Blue Corner

-475

(83%)

Vegas Odds

+420

(19%)

1450

Elo

1356

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Glover TeixeiraL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20

SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20

SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21

SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22

vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23

latest

Fabio MaldonadoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Gian Villante · Mar 14

KOvs Stipe Miocic · May 14

KOvs Hans Stringer · Oct 14

DECvs Rampage Jackson · Apr 15

vs Corey Anderson · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Glover TeixeiraMetricFabio Maldonado

3.73

Strikes / min

5.29

4.43

Strikes absorbed / min

4.31

51%

Strike defense

53%

2.11

TDs / 15 min

0.44

60%

Takedown defense

61%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap+0.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Glover TeixeiraFabio Maldonado

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Glover Teixeira(10 fights)Fabio Maldonado(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +94.2|Blue -94.2

Recent Form

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Striker Score

Red -3.7|Blue +3.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red -11.0|Blue +11.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Glover TeixeiraTargetFabio Maldonado

By target zone

59% acc · 99%

Head

26% acc · 90%

50% acc · 1%

Body

50% acc · 10%

Leg

By position

42% acc · 22%

Distance

28% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

67% acc · 78%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Glover Teixeira rounds

even

Fabio Maldonado rounds

Round 1Glover Teixeira edged it

Sig. strikes64

Takedowns1

Control3:44

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Glover Teixeira edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns2

Control3:15

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

85 / 145

Sig Strikes

10 / 36

58%

Sig Str %

28%

117 / 183

Total Strikes

14 / 40

3 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:59

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Fabio Maldonado	5 / 20	6 / 21	0 / 0	0
1	Glover Teixeira	64 / 109	86 / 136	1 / 1	1
2	Fabio Maldonado	5 / 16	8 / 19	0 / 0	0
2	Glover Teixeira	21 / 36	31 / 47	2 / 2	0

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights23

Fabio Maldonado

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11