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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Corey Anderson won · U-DEC R3
Elo1450
Elo1492
Corey Anderson

Glover TeixeiravsCorey AndersonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · Sunday, July 22, 2018Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

Official fight result

Corey Anderson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGlover Teixeira: WrestlervsCorey Anderson: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Glover Teixeira wins(50.7%)

Actual result: Corey Anderson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Glover Teixeira at -120 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Corey Anderson has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Glover Teixeira
Red Corner
VS
Corey Anderson
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
1450
Elo
1492
46
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Glover TeixeiraL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20
W
SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20
W
SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21
L
SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22
L
vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23
latest
Corey Anderson
oldest →
L
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Nov 17
W
vs Patrick Cummins · Apr 18
W
vs Ilir Latifi · Dec 18
W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Nov 19
L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Feb 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Glover TeixeiraMetricCorey Anderson
3.73
Strikes / min
4.43
4.43
Strikes absorbed / min
2.22
51%
Strike defense
59%
2.11
TDs / 15 min
4.89
60%
Takedown defense
83%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.70Δ 2.91 — meaningful gap+2.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1587 vs 1538Strikes32.9 vs 54.5Takedowns1.4 vs 4.1Sub Atts0.43 vs 0.00Form0.3 vs 0.1
Glover TeixeiraCorey Anderson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Glover Teixeira(10 fights)Corey Anderson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -42.3|Blue +42.3
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Glover TeixeiraTargetCorey Anderson

By target zone

15
38% acc · 75%
Head
39
45% acc · 81%
5
71% acc · 25%
Body
8
89% acc · 17%
0
Leg
1
100% acc · 2%

By position

17
40% acc · 85%
Distance
31
45% acc · 65%
1
50% acc · 5%
Clinch
5
31% acc · 10%
2
100% acc · 10%
Ground
12
100% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Glover Teixeira rounds
0
even
3
Corey Anderson rounds
Round 1Corey Anderson edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:17
13Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
1:55Control
Round 2Corey Anderson edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:16
26Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:23Control
Round 3Corey Anderson edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:07
9Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:08Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
20 / 46
Sig Strikes
48 / 97
44%
Sig Str %
48.7%
27 / 54
Total Strikes
88 / 140
0 / 4
TDs
7 / 19
0%
TD %
42.3%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:40
Ctrl Time
7:26

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Corey Anderson13 / 3820 / 463 / 90
1Glover Teixeira10 / 1810 / 180 / 01
2Corey Anderson26 / 4047 / 632 / 30
2Glover Teixeira5 / 187 / 210 / 20
3Corey Anderson9 / 1921 / 312 / 70
3Glover Teixeira5 / 1010 / 150 / 20

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights23

Corey Anderson

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights15