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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Jinh Yu Frey won · U-DEC

Elo1494

Elo1477

Gloria de PaulavsJinh Yu FreyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · Saturday, March 13, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jinh Yu Frey won

U-DEC

Style matchupGloria de Paula: Pressure fightervsJinh Yu Frey: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Gloria de Paula wins(73.1%)

Actual result: Jinh Yu Frey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gloria de Paula at -200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jinh Yu Frey enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Gloria de Paula has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jinh Yu Frey has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jinh Yu Frey (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Gloria de Paula

Red Corner

Jinh Yu Frey

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

1494

Elo

1477

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'5"

Height

5'3"

170.18 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gloria de Paula

oldest →

KOvs Cheyanne Buys · Jul 21

vs Diana Belbita · Feb 22

vs Maria Oliveira · Jun 22

latest

Jinh Yu FreyL4 streak

oldest →

vs Ashley Yoder · Jul 21

vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Jun 22

KOvs Polyana Viana · Nov 22

vs Elise Reed · Jun 23

vs Viktoriia Dudakova · Oct 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gloria de PaulaMetricJinh Yu Frey

4.89

Strikes / min

2.97

3.77

Strikes absorbed / min

4.23

66%

Strike defense

52%

0.74

TDs / 15 min

1.02

65%

Takedown defense

90%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.12Δ 2.38 — meaningful gap-1.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gloria de PaulaJinh Yu Frey

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gloria de Paula(4 fights)Jinh Yu Frey(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +17.5|Blue -17.5

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gloria de PaulaTargetJinh Yu Frey

By target zone

38% acc · 58%

Head

16% acc · 42%

78% acc · 23%

Body

60% acc · 13%

100% acc · 19%

Leg

92% acc · 46%

By position

46% acc · 87%

Distance

24% acc · 71%

100% acc · 13%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

Ground

75% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gloria de Paula rounds

even

Jinh Yu Frey rounds

Round 1Jinh Yu Frey edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:44Control

Round 2Gloria de Paula edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:05

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Round 3Jinh Yu Frey edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:38Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 63

Sig Strikes

24 / 79

51.7%

Sig Str %

35%

51 / 95

Total Strikes

50 / 125

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 3

—

TD %

66.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

9:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jinh Yu Frey	8 / 13	26 / 41	1 / 1	0
1	Gloria de Paula	2 / 3	8 / 14	0 / 0	0
2	Jinh Yu Frey	15 / 61	17 / 63	0 / 1	0
2	Gloria de Paula	27 / 55	29 / 58	0 / 0	0
3	Jinh Yu Frey	1 / 5	7 / 21	1 / 1	2
3	Gloria de Paula	2 / 5	14 / 23	0 / 0	0

Gloria de Paula

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights4

Jinh Yu Frey

StanceSouthpaw

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights8