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Lightweight
3 Rounds
James Vick won · Decision R3
Elo1358
Glaico Franca
Elo1377
James Vick

Glaico FrancavsJames VickUFC Prediction Result

UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · Saturday, April 23, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

James Vick won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: James Vick wins(52.2%)

Actual result: James Vick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

James Vick at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • James Vick enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Glaico Franca
Red Corner
VS
James Vick
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
1358
Elo
1377
25
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Glaico Franca
oldest →
W
SUBvs Fernando Bruno · Aug 15
L
DECvs Gregor Gillespie · Sep 16
latest
James VickL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 18
L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Aug 18
L
vs Paul Felder · Feb 19
L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jul 19
L
KOvs Niko Price · Oct 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Glaico FrancaMetricJames Vick
Strikes / min
4.13
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
Strike defense
60%
TDs / 15 min
0.26
Takedown defense
57%
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1519 vs 1572Strikes23.0 vs 31.8Takedowns4.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.50Form1.0 vs 1.0
Glaico FrancaJames Vick

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Glaico Franca(3 fights)James Vick(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -18.9|Blue +18.9
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Glaico Franca

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3

James Vick

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14