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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Gregor Gillespie won · Decision R3
Elo1358
Glaico Franca
Elo1494
Gregor Gillespie

Glaico FrancavsGregor GillespieUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · Saturday, September 24, 2016Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil

Official fight result

Gregor Gillespie won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Glaico Franca wins(80.3%)

Actual result: Gregor Gillespie wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Glaico Franca at -140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Glaico Franca has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Glaico Franca
Red Corner
VS
Gregor Gillespie
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
1358
Elo
1494
25
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'7"
195.58 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Glaico Franca
oldest →
W
SUBvs Fernando Bruno · Aug 15
L
DECvs James Vick · Apr 16
latest
Gregor Gillespie
oldest →
W
KOvs Jordan Rinaldi · Jan 18
W
SUBvs Vinc Pichel · Jun 18
W
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jan 19
L
KOvs Kevin Lee · Nov 19
W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Glaico FrancaMetricGregor Gillespie
—
Strikes / min
3.74
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.30
—
Strike defense
57%
—
TDs / 15 min
6.86
—
Takedown defense
100%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1503 vs 1500Strikes31.0 vs —Takedowns4.0 vs —Sub Atts0.50 vs —Form-0.3 vs 0.0
Glaico FrancaGregor Gillespie

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Glaico Franca(3 fights)Gregor Gillespie(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -135.8|Blue +135.8
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Glaico Franca

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3

Gregor Gillespie

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8