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Lightweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Glaico Franca won · Submission R3
Elo1358
Glaico Franca
Elo1357

Glaico FrancavsFernando BrunoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · Saturday, August 1, 2015Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Glaico Franca won

Submission · Round 3 · 4:46

Model Prediction: Glaico Franca wins(51.0%)

Actual result: Glaico Franca wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Glaico Franca at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Glaico Franca threatens submissions; Fernando Bruno has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Fernando Bruno (53.5%).
  • Glaico Franca has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Glaico Franca
Red Corner
VS
Fernando Bruno
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
1358
Elo
1357
24
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'6"
195.58 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Glaico FrancaL2 streak
oldest →
L
DECvs James Vick · Apr 16
L
DECvs Gregor Gillespie · Sep 16
latest
Fernando Bruno
oldest →
L
vs Gray Maynard · Jul 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Glaico FrancaMetricFernando Bruno
—
Strikes / min
1.75
—
Strikes absorbed / min
1.78
—
Strike defense
48%
—
TDs / 15 min
2.02
—
Takedown defense
56%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Glaico Franca(3 fights)Fernando Bruno(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Glaico Franca

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3

Fernando Bruno

Stance—
Height66.0"
Reach—
Fights2