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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Priscila Cachoeira won · KO/TKO
Elo1423
Gina Mazany
Elo1459
Priscila Cachoeira

Gina MazanyvsPriscila CachoeiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · Saturday, May 15, 2021Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Priscila Cachoeira won

KO/TKO

Style matchupGina Mazany: WrestlervsPriscila Cachoeira: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Gina Mazany wins(77.7%)

Actual result: Priscila Cachoeira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gina Mazany at -235 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Priscila Cachoeira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Priscila Cachoeira is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Gina Mazany has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Priscila Cachoeira has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Gina Mazany (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Gina Mazany
Red Corner
VS
Priscila Cachoeira
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
1423
Elo
1459
37
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gina Mazany
oldest →
L
vs Lina Lansberg · May 18
L
KOvs Macy Chiasson · Mar 19
L
KOvs Julia Avila · Jun 20
W
KOvs Rachael Ostovich · Nov 20
L
KOvs Shanna Young · Apr 22
latest
Priscila CachoeiraL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jan 24
W
KOvs Josiane Nunes · Mar 25
L
KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Aug 25
L
vs Klaudia Sygula · Feb 26
L
SUBvs Chelsea Chandler · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gina MazanyMetricPriscila Cachoeira
3.73
Strikes / min
4.43
3.52
Strikes absorbed / min
7.60
50%
Strike defense
45%
4.34
TDs / 15 min
0.25
33%
Takedown defense
69%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.21Δ 3.38 — meaningful gap-3.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1474 vs 1472Strikes3.4 vs 3.8Takedowns4.7 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs 0.0
Gina MazanyPriscila Cachoeira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401460148015001520← oldermost recent →
Gina Mazany(8 fights)Priscila Cachoeira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -35.7|Blue +35.7
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red -280.0|Blue +280.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gina MazanyTargetPriscila Cachoeira

By target zone

21
62% acc · 64%
Head
31
60% acc · 86%
10
91% acc · 30%
Body
5
100% acc · 14%
2
67% acc · 6%
Leg
0

By position

19
59% acc · 58%
Distance
24
53% acc · 67%
5
71% acc · 15%
Clinch
10
100% acc · 28%
9
100% acc · 27%
Ground
2
100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Gina Mazany rounds
1
even
0
Priscila Cachoeira rounds
Round 1Gina Mazany edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns3
Control4:08
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control2:36
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
33 / 48
Sig Strikes
36 / 57
68.5%
Sig Str %
63.5%
77 / 99
Total Strikes
47 / 71
4 / 9
TDs
0 / 0
58%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
6:44
Ctrl Time
0:17

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Priscila Cachoeira10 / 1519 / 270 / 00
1Gina Mazany14 / 2039 / 493 / 30
2Priscila Cachoeira26 / 4228 / 440 / 00
2Gina Mazany19 / 2838 / 501 / 60

Gina Mazany

StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8

Priscila Cachoeira

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14