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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Macy Chiasson won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1423

Elo1474

Gina MazanyvsMacy ChiassonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · Saturday, March 2, 2019Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Macy Chiasson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:49

Style matchupGina Mazany: WrestlervsMacy Chiasson: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Macy Chiasson wins(53.2%)

Actual result: Macy Chiasson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Macy Chiasson at -525 American odds

+$19 profit

$119 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Macy Chiasson has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Gina Mazany (53.5%).
Macy Chiasson has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Gina Mazany

Red Corner

Macy Chiasson

Blue Corner

+415

(19%)

Vegas Odds

-525

(84%)

1423

Elo

1474

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'11"

172.72 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gina MazanyL2 streak

oldest →

vs Lina Lansberg · May 18

KOvs Julia Avila · Jun 20

KOvs Rachael Ostovich · Nov 20

KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · May 21

KOvs Shanna Young · Apr 22

latest

Macy ChiassonL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Pannie Kianzad · Mar 24

KOvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jun 24

vs Ketlen Vieira · May 25

vs Yana Santos · Oct 25

vs Ailin Perez · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gina MazanyMetricMacy Chiasson

3.73

Strikes / min

3.21

3.52

Strikes absorbed / min

2.76

50%

Strike defense

44%

4.34

TDs / 15 min

1.87

33%

Takedown defense

62%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.21evenly matched on net striking+0.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gina MazanyMacy Chiasson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gina Mazany(8 fights)Macy Chiasson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -50.6|Blue +50.6

Recent Form

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +187.0|Blue -187.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gina MazanyTargetMacy Chiasson

By target zone

38% acc · 43%

Head

41% acc · 60%

86% acc · 43%

Body

82% acc · 36%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

54% acc · 93%

Distance

44% acc · 72%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 12%

Ground

80% acc · 16%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gina Mazany rounds

even

Macy Chiasson rounds

Round 1Macy Chiasson edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 25

Sig Strikes

25 / 49

56%

Sig Str %

51%

24 / 36

Total Strikes

25 / 49

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Macy Chiasson	25 / 49	25 / 49	0 / 0	0
1	Gina Mazany	14 / 25	24 / 36	0 / 0	0

Gina Mazany

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights8

Macy Chiasson

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14