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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Taila Santos won · U-DEC

Elo1544

Gillian Robertson editorial illustration

Elo1477

Gillian RobertsonvsTaila SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Saturday, December 19, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Taila Santos won

U-DEC

Style matchupGillian Robertson: WrestlervsTaila Santos: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Gillian Robertson wins(70.5%)

Actual result: Taila Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gillian Robertson at -145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Taila Santos has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Taila Santos has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Gillian Robertson

Red Corner

Taila Santos

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1544

Elo

1477

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'6"

160.02 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gillian RobertsonW5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Polyana Viana · Jan 24

vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Jun 24

vs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 24

KOvs Marina Rodriguez · May 25

vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 26

latest

Taila SantosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Molly McCann · Jul 20

vs Roxanne Modafferi · Sep 21

SUBvs Joanne Wood · Nov 21

vs Valentina Shevchenko · Jun 22

vs Erin Blanchfield · Aug 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gillian RobertsonMetricTaila Santos

2.71

Strikes / min

3.39

2.86

Strikes absorbed / min

2.64

56%

Strike defense

58%

2.76

TDs / 15 min

2.00

38%

Takedown defense

86%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.15evenly matched on net striking+0.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gillian RobertsonTaila Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gillian Robertson(10 fights)Taila Santos(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +67.3|Blue -67.3

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -94.0|Blue +94.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gillian RobertsonTargetTaila Santos

By target zone

58% acc · 78%

Head

70% acc · 78%

100% acc · 11%

Body

75% acc · 11%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

44% acc · 44%

Distance

31% acc · 15%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

100% acc · 56%

Ground

96% acc · 81%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gillian Robertson rounds

even

Taila Santos rounds

Round 1Taila Santos edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:13

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

4:33Control

Round 2Taila Santos edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:46

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:01Control

Round 3Taila Santos edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:02

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

4:13Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 14

Sig Strikes

27 / 37

66.3%

Sig Str %

75.7%

42 / 48

Total Strikes

72 / 85

0 / 2

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:01

Ctrl Time

12:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Taila Santos	6 / 8	22 / 25	0 / 0	0
1	Gillian Robertson	6 / 9	25 / 29	0 / 0	0
2	Taila Santos	12 / 12	19 / 20	1 / 1	1
2	Gillian Robertson	1 / 3	7 / 9	0 / 1	0
3	Taila Santos	9 / 17	31 / 40	0 / 0	0
3	Gillian Robertson	2 / 2	10 / 10	0 / 1	1

Gillian Robertson

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights20

Taila Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7