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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Gillian Robertson won · SUB R1

Elo1544

Gillian Robertson editorial illustration

Elo1459

Gillian RobertsonvsPriscila CachoeiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Saturday, December 11, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Gillian Robertson won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:59

Style matchupGillian Robertson: WrestlervsPriscila Cachoeira: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Gillian Robertson wins(73.2%)

Actual result: Gillian Robertson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gillian Robertson at -350 American odds

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Priscila Cachoeira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Gillian Robertson threatens submissions; Priscila Cachoeira has lost 56% of fights by sub.
Gillian Robertson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Priscila Cachoeira has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Gillian Robertson

Red Corner

Priscila Cachoeira

Blue Corner

-350

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+270

(27%)

1544

Elo

1459

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'7"

160.02 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gillian RobertsonW5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Polyana Viana · Jan 24

vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Jun 24

vs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 24

KOvs Marina Rodriguez · May 25

vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 26

latest

Priscila CachoeiraL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jan 24

KOvs Josiane Nunes · Mar 25

KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Aug 25

vs Klaudia Sygula · Feb 26

SUBvs Chelsea Chandler · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gillian RobertsonMetricPriscila Cachoeira

2.71

Strikes / min

4.43

2.86

Strikes absorbed / min

7.60

56%

Strike defense

45%

2.76

TDs / 15 min

0.25

38%

Takedown defense

69%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.15Δ 3.02 — meaningful gap-3.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gillian RobertsonPriscila Cachoeira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gillian Robertson(10 fights)Priscila Cachoeira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +85.0|Blue -85.0

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gillian RobertsonTargetPriscila Cachoeira

By target zone

74% acc · 81%

Head

55% acc · 85%

60% acc · 9%

Body

60% acc · 15%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

By position

53% acc · 28%

Distance

53% acc · 90%

100% acc · 6%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

88% acc · 66%

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gillian Robertson rounds

even

Priscila Cachoeira rounds

Round 1Gillian Robertson edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns1

Control2:49

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 43

Sig Strikes

20 / 36

74%

Sig Str %

55%

52 / 66

Total Strikes

22 / 39

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:49

Ctrl Time

0:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Priscila Cachoeira	20 / 36	22 / 39	0 / 0	0
1	Gillian Robertson	32 / 43	52 / 66	1 / 4	1

Gillian Robertson

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights20

Priscila Cachoeira

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights14