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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Gillian Robertson won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1544

Gillian Robertson editorial illustration

Elo1460

Gillian RobertsonvsPolyana VianaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · Saturday, January 20, 2024Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Gillian Robertson won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:12

Model Prediction: Gillian Robertson wins(63.8%)

Actual result: Gillian Robertson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gillian Robertson at -298 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gillian Robertson enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Polyana Viana enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Gillian Robertson threatens submissions; Polyana Viana has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Polyana Viana has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Gillian Robertson

Red Corner

Polyana Viana

Blue Corner

-298

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+240

(29%)

1544

Elo

1460

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'5"

160.02 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gillian RobertsonW4 streak

oldest →

vs Tabatha Ricci · Jun 23

vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Jun 24

vs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 24

KOvs Marina Rodriguez · May 25

vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 26

latest

Polyana VianaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Tabatha Ricci · May 22

KOvs Jinh Yu Frey · Nov 22

SUBvs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 23

SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Apr 25

SUBvs Alice Ardelean · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gillian RobertsonMetricPolyana Viana

2.71

Strikes / min

2.74

2.86

Strikes absorbed / min

2.50

56%

Strike defense

53%

2.76

TDs / 15 min

0.75

38%

Takedown defense

35%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.15evenly matched on net striking+0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gillian RobertsonPolyana Viana

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gillian Robertson(10 fights)Polyana Viana(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +84.0|Blue -84.0

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gillian RobertsonTargetPolyana Viana

By target zone

57% acc · 87%

Head

27% acc · 83%

Body

67% acc · 17%

75% acc · 13%

Leg

0% acc

By position

38% acc · 22%

Distance

24% acc · 75%

Clinch

69% acc · 78%

Ground

75% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gillian Robertson rounds

even

Polyana Viana rounds

Round 1Gillian Robertson edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control3:52

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 2Gillian Robertson edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control2:14

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 39

Sig Strikes

12 / 41

59%

Sig Str %

30.5%

49 / 91

Total Strikes

33 / 66

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:06

Ctrl Time

0:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Polyana Viana	8 / 18	20 / 31	0 / 0	0
1	Gillian Robertson	8 / 13	16 / 23	1 / 1	1
2	Polyana Viana	4 / 23	13 / 35	0 / 0	0
2	Gillian Robertson	15 / 26	33 / 68	1 / 1	0

Gillian Robertson

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights20

Polyana Viana

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights11