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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Charles Radtke won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1482

Elo1526

Gilbert UrbinavsCharles RadtkeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Saturday, February 3, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Charles Radtke won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:47

Style matchupGilbert Urbina: WrestlervsCharles Radtke: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Gilbert Urbina wins(66.1%)

Actual result: Charles Radtke wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gilbert Urbina at -218 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gilbert Urbina is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Charles Radtke has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Charles Radtke has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Charles Radtke has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Gilbert Urbina

Red Corner

Charles Radtke

Blue Corner

-218

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1482

Elo

1526

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'9"

190.5 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gilbert Urbina

oldest →

SUBvs Bryan Battle · Aug 21

KOvs Orion Cosce · May 23

KOvs Uros Medic · Aug 25

latest

Charles RadtkeW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Carlos Prates · Jun 24

KOvs Matthew Semelsberger · Nov 24

KOvs Mike Malott · May 25

SUBvs Daniel Frunza · Nov 25

DECvs Francisco Prado · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gilbert UrbinaMetricCharles Radtke

5.57

Strikes / min

2.50

4.62

Strikes absorbed / min

2.45

44%

Strike defense

54%

2.86

TDs / 15 min

1.99

Takedown defense

100%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.95evenly matched on net striking+0.05

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gilbert UrbinaCharles Radtke

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gilbert Urbina(4 fights)Charles Radtke(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -44.5|Blue +44.5

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +112.0|Blue -112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gilbert UrbinaTargetCharles Radtke

By target zone

24% acc · 25%

Head

57% acc · 77%

60% acc · 38%

Body

55% acc · 38%

Leg

100% acc · 23%

By position

42% acc · 100%

Distance

63% acc · 90%

Clinch

Ground

75% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gilbert Urbina rounds

even

Charles Radtke rounds

Round 1Charles Radtke edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns0

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

2Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 38

Sig Strikes

30 / 47

42%

Sig Str %

63%

16 / 38

Total Strikes

33 / 51

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Charles Radtke	30 / 47	33 / 51	0 / 0	0
1	Gilbert Urbina	16 / 38	16 / 38	0 / 1	0

Gilbert Urbina

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4

Charles Radtke

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights6