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Welterweight
5 Rounds
Mike Malott won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1466
Gilbert Burns
Elo1552
Mike Malott

Gilbert BurnsvsMike MalottUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Saturday, April 18, 2026Winnipeg, Canada

Official fight result

Mike Malott won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:08

Style matchupGilbert Burns: WrestlervsMike Malott: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Mike Malott wins(79.1%)

Actual result: Mike Malott wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Gilbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Mike Malott enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Gilbert Burns
Red Corner
VS
Mike Malott
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1466
Elo
1552
40
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'1"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gilbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 23
L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23
L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24
L
vs Sean Brady · Sep 24
L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25
latest
Mike MalottW3 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Adam Fugitt · Jun 23
L
KOvs Neil Magny · Jan 24
W
vs Trevin Giles · Nov 24
W
KOvs Charles Radtke · May 25
W
vs Kevin Holland · Oct 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gilbert BurnsMetricMike Malott
3.16
Strikes / min
4.02
3.68
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
52%
Strike defense
56%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
1.63
53%
Takedown defense
57%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap+0.93
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501480151015401570← oldermost recent →
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Mike Malott(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -86.0|Blue +86.0
Recent Form
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Striker Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +154.0|Blue -154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Gilbert Burns

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24

Mike Malott

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7