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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Giga Chikadze won · U-DEC R3

Elo1477

Elo1493

Giga ChikadzevsIrwin RiveraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · Saturday, May 16, 2020Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Giga Chikadze won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGiga Chikadze: StrikervsIrwin Rivera: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Giga Chikadze wins(67.0%)

Actual result: Giga Chikadze wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Giga Chikadze at -420 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Giga Chikadze enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Irwin Rivera (53.5%).
Giga Chikadze has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Giga Chikadze

Red Corner

Irwin Rivera

Blue Corner

-420

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+335

(23%)

1477

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

5'6"

187.96 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Giga ChikadzeL3 streak

oldest →

vs Calvin Kattar · Jan 22

vs Alex Caceres · Aug 23

vs Arnold Allen · Jul 24

vs David Onama · Apr 25

KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Dec 25

latest

Irwin Rivera

oldest →

DECvs Ali Qaisi · Aug 20

vs Andre Ewell · Sep 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Giga ChikadzeMetricIrwin Rivera

3.75

Strikes / min

3.36

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

5.07

59%

Strike defense

57%

0.18

TDs / 15 min

1.00

65%

Takedown defense

70%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.28Δ 1.99 — meaningful gap-1.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Giga ChikadzeIrwin Rivera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Giga Chikadze(10 fights)Irwin Rivera(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -15.9|Blue +15.9

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Giga ChikadzeTargetIrwin Rivera

By target zone

33% acc · 54%

Head

28% acc · 59%

81% acc · 21%

Body

56% acc · 29%

79% acc · 25%

Leg

80% acc · 12%

By position

45% acc · 90%

Distance

36% acc · 100%

50% acc · 3%

Clinch

44% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Giga Chikadze rounds

even

Irwin Rivera rounds

Round 1Giga Chikadze edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Giga Chikadze edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Giga Chikadze edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control0:06

Knockdowns1

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

61 / 135

Sig Strikes

34 / 94

44.7%

Sig Str %

36%

61 / 135

Total Strikes

35 / 95

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 4

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:06

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Irwin Rivera	11 / 33	11 / 33	0 / 2
1	Giga Chikadze	17 / 39	17 / 39	0 / 0
2	Irwin Rivera	10 / 26	10 / 26	0 / 1
2	Giga Chikadze	25 / 49	25 / 49	0 / 0
3	Irwin Rivera	13 / 35	14 / 36	0 / 1
3	Giga Chikadze	19 / 47	19 / 47	1 / 1

Giga Chikadze

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12

Irwin Rivera

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights3