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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Giga Chikadze won · KO/TKO

Elo1477

Elo1516

Giga ChikadzevsCub SwansonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · Saturday, May 1, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Giga Chikadze won

KO/TKO

Style matchupGiga Chikadze: StrikervsCub Swanson: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Giga Chikadze wins(56.9%)

Actual result: Giga Chikadze wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Giga Chikadze at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Giga Chikadze enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Giga Chikadze has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Giga Chikadze

Red Corner

Cub Swanson

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1477

Elo

1516

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'8"

187.96 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Giga ChikadzeL3 streak

oldest →

vs Calvin Kattar · Jan 22

vs Alex Caceres · Aug 23

vs Arnold Allen · Jul 24

vs David Onama · Apr 25

KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Dec 25

latest

Cub SwansonW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22

vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23

vs Andre Fili · Jun 24

KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24

KOvs Nate Landwehr · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Giga ChikadzeMetricCub Swanson

3.75

Strikes / min

4.84

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

3.99

59%

Strike defense

59%

0.18

TDs / 15 min

1.00

65%

Takedown defense

63%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.28evenly matched on net striking+0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Giga ChikadzeCub Swanson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Giga Chikadze(10 fights)Cub Swanson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -39.2|Blue +39.2

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -2.1|Blue +2.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Giga ChikadzeTargetCub Swanson

By target zone

64% acc · 75%

Head

100% acc · 25%

67% acc · 17%

Body

100% acc · 8%

Leg

60% acc · 75%

By position

64% acc · 58%

Distance

67% acc · 100%

Clinch

71% acc · 42%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Giga Chikadze rounds

even

Cub Swanson rounds

Round 1Giga Chikadze edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 18

Sig Strikes

4 / 6

66%

Sig Str %

66%

12 / 18

Total Strikes

4 / 6

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cub Swanson	4 / 6	4 / 6	0 / 0	0
1	Giga Chikadze	12 / 18	12 / 18	0 / 0	0

Giga Chikadze

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12

Cub Swanson

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights25