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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Giga Chikadze won · U-DEC R3

Elo1477

Elo1500

Giga ChikadzevsAlex CaceresUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, August 26, 2023Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Giga Chikadze won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGiga Chikadze: StrikervsAlex Caceres: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Giga Chikadze wins(54.6%)

Actual result: Giga Chikadze wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Giga Chikadze at -258 American odds

+$39 profit

$139 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Giga Chikadze enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Giga Chikadze

Red Corner

Alex Caceres

Blue Corner

-258

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1477

Elo

1500

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

5'10"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Giga ChikadzeL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Edson Barboza · Aug 21

vs Calvin Kattar · Jan 22

vs Arnold Allen · Jul 24

vs David Onama · Apr 25

KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Dec 25

latest

Alex Caceres

oldest →

SUBvs SeungWoo Choi · Oct 21

vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22

KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22

vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23

vs Sean Woodson · May 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Giga ChikadzeMetricAlex Caceres

3.75

Strikes / min

4.21

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

3.09

59%

Strike defense

62%

0.18

TDs / 15 min

0.54

65%

Takedown defense

64%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.28evenly matched on net striking+1.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Giga ChikadzeAlex Caceres

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Giga Chikadze(10 fights)Alex Caceres(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -23.1|Blue +23.1

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +504.0|Blue -504.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Giga ChikadzeTargetAlex Caceres

By target zone

30% acc · 38%

Head

23% acc · 40%

58% acc · 34%

Body

57% acc · 40%

90% acc · 28%

Leg

86% acc · 19%

By position

47% acc · 100%

Distance

37% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Giga Chikadze rounds

even

Alex Caceres rounds

Round 1Giga Chikadze edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Giga Chikadze edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

65 / 141

Sig Strikes

62 / 168

48.3%

Sig Str %

36.7%

65 / 141

Total Strikes

62 / 168

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alex Caceres	15 / 39	15 / 39	0 / 0
1	Giga Chikadze	17 / 30	17 / 30	0 / 0
2	Alex Caceres	24 / 61	24 / 61	0 / 0
2	Giga Chikadze	23 / 44	23 / 44	0 / 0
3	Alex Caceres	23 / 68	23 / 68	0 / 0
3	Giga Chikadze	25 / 67	25 / 67	0 / 0

Giga Chikadze

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12

Alex Caceres

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights29