Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ovince Saint Preux won · M-DEC R3

Elo1411

Elo1497

Gian VillantevsOvince Saint PreuxUFC Prediction Result

UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · Saturday, April 27, 2013Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Ovince Saint Preux won

M-DEC · Round 3 · 0:33

Style matchupGian Villante: Pressure fightervsOvince Saint Preux: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Ovince Saint Preux wins(50.6%)

Actual result: Ovince Saint Preux wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ovince Saint Preux at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Gian Villante has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
Ovince Saint Preux has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Gian Villante

Red Corner

Ovince Saint Preux

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-145

(59%)

1411

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gian VillanteL4 streak

oldest →

vs Ed Herman · Oct 18

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19

SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20

vs Jake Collier · Dec 20

KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21

latest

Ovince Saint Preux

oldest →

KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Mauricio Rua · May 22

KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24

SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gian VillanteMetricOvince Saint Preux

4.38

Strikes / min

3.03

5.47

Strikes absorbed / min

3.33

55%

Strike defense

47%

0.45

TDs / 15 min

1.09

83%

Takedown defense

67%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.09evenly matched on net striking-0.30

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gian Villante(10 fights)Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -86.4|Blue +86.4

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gian VillanteTargetOvince Saint Preux

By target zone

36% acc · 18%

Head

51% acc · 70%

43% acc · 11%

Body

71% acc · 11%

69% acc · 71%

Leg

75% acc · 19%

By position

54% acc · 89%

Distance

55% acc · 96%

75% acc · 11%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gian Villante rounds

even

Ovince Saint Preux rounds

Round 1Ovince Saint Preux edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:04

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:42Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:08

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 50

Sig Strikes

47 / 84

47.7%

Sig Str %

54.3%

35 / 57

Total Strikes

57 / 94

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 2

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:12

Ctrl Time

0:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ovince Saint Preux	27 / 38	37 / 48	0 / 1
1	Gian Villante	10 / 14	16 / 20	0 / 4
2	Ovince Saint Preux	18 / 42	18 / 42	0 / 1
2	Gian Villante	17 / 30	18 / 31	0 / 0
3	Ovince Saint Preux	2 / 4	2 / 4	0 / 0
3	Gian Villante	1 / 6	1 / 6	0 / 0

Gian Villante

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights18

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights28