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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ilir Latifi won · U-DEC R3

Elo1411

Elo1497

Gian VillantevsIlir LatifiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · Saturday, March 5, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ilir Latifi won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGian Villante: Pressure fightervsIlir Latifi: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Gian Villante wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Ilir Latifi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gian Villante at +160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Ilir Latifi has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Gian Villante

Red Corner

Ilir Latifi

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-185

(65%)

1411

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'10"

193.04 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gian VillanteL4 streak

oldest →

vs Ed Herman · Oct 18

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19

SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20

vs Jake Collier · Dec 20

KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21

latest

Ilir Latifi

oldest →

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19

vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20

vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22

vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gian VillanteMetricIlir Latifi

4.38

Strikes / min

2.05

5.47

Strikes absorbed / min

2.93

55%

Strike defense

56%

0.45

TDs / 15 min

2.11

83%

Takedown defense

100%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.09evenly matched on net striking-0.88

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gian VillanteIlir Latifi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gian Villante(10 fights)Ilir Latifi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -86.4|Blue +86.4

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +64.0|Blue -64.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gian VillanteTargetIlir Latifi

By target zone

30% acc · 61%

Head

51% acc · 70%

31% acc · 22%

Body

75% acc · 20%

67% acc · 17%

Leg

75% acc · 10%

By position

31% acc · 83%

Distance

49% acc · 63%

67% acc · 17%

Clinch

80% acc · 27%

Ground

75% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gian Villante rounds

even

Ilir Latifi rounds

Round 1Ilir Latifi edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:05Control

Round 2Ilir Latifi edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:02

10Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:33Control

Round 3Ilir Latifi edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:07

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:59Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 68

Sig Strikes

30 / 53

33.3%

Sig Str %

56.3%

32 / 79

Total Strikes

36 / 59

0 / 1

TDs

3 / 12

TD %

27.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:09

Ctrl Time

4:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ilir Latifi	10 / 18	13 / 21	0 / 5
1	Gian Villante	6 / 21	9 / 26	0 / 0
2	Ilir Latifi	10 / 19	10 / 19	2 / 4
2	Gian Villante	9 / 26	12 / 29	0 / 0
3	Ilir Latifi	10 / 16	13 / 19	1 / 3
3	Gian Villante	8 / 21	11 / 24	0 / 1

Gian Villante

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights18

Ilir Latifi

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights16