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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Gian Villante won · S-DEC R3

Elo1411

Elo1364

Gian VillantevsFrancimar BarrosoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · Saturday, January 20, 2018Boston, Massachusetts, USA

Official fight result

Gian Villante won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGian Villante: Pressure fightervsFrancimar Barroso: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Francimar Barroso wins(58.3%)

Actual result: Gian Villante wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Francimar Barroso at +135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Gian Villante

Red Corner

Francimar Barroso

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1411

Elo

1364

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gian VillanteL4 streak

oldest →

vs Ed Herman · Oct 18

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19

SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20

vs Jake Collier · Dec 20

KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21

latest

Francimar Barroso

oldest →

vs Ryan Jimmo · May 15

vs Elvis Mutapcic · Jan 16

SUBvs Nikita Krylov · May 16

vs Darren Stewart · Mar 17

vs Aleksandar Rakic · Sep 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gian VillanteMetricFrancimar Barroso

4.38

Strikes / min

2.77

5.47

Strikes absorbed / min

3.07

55%

Strike defense

59%

0.45

TDs / 15 min

2.22

83%

Takedown defense

83%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.09evenly matched on net striking-0.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gian VillanteFrancimar Barroso

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gian Villante(10 fights)Francimar Barroso(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +47.2|Blue -47.2

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gian VillanteTargetFrancimar Barroso

By target zone

31% acc · 77%

Head

44% acc · 51%

65% acc · 15%

Body

75% acc · 24%

75% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 24%

By position

36% acc · 100%

Distance

58% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gian Villante rounds

even

Francimar Barroso rounds

Round 1Francimar Barroso edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Gian Villante edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Francimar Barroso edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

74 / 209

Sig Strikes

74 / 128

34.7%

Sig Str %

61.7%

74 / 209

Total Strikes

74 / 128

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Francimar Barroso	21 / 26	21 / 26	0 / 0
1	Gian Villante	15 / 50	15 / 50	0 / 0
2	Francimar Barroso	26 / 57	26 / 57	0 / 0
2	Gian Villante	35 / 79	35 / 79	0 / 0
3	Francimar Barroso	27 / 45	27 / 45	0 / 0
3	Gian Villante	24 / 80	24 / 80	0 / 0

Gian Villante

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights18

Francimar Barroso

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8