Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Germaine de Randamie has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Germaine de RandamieL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Anna Elmose · May 16W
vs Raquel Pennington · Nov 18L
vs Amanda Nunes · Dec 19L
vs Norma Dumont · Apr 24 Julianna Pena
oldest →W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Jan 21W
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 21L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jul 22W
vs Raquel Pennington · Oct 24L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Germaine de RandamieMetricJulianna Pena
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.57evenly matched on net striking+0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Germaine de RandamieJulianna Pena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Germaine de Randamie(10 fights)Julianna Pena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -154.0|Blue +154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Germaine de RandamieTargetJulianna Pena
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Germaine de Randamie rounds
Round 1Germaine de Randamie edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:29Control
Round 2Julianna Pena edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:48
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:41Control
Round 3Julianna Pena edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:45Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
