Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Germaine de Randamie won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1497
Elo1358
Anna Elmose

Germaine de RandamievsAnna ElmoseUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · Sunday, May 8, 2016Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands

Official fight result

Germaine de Randamie won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:46

Style matchupGermaine de Randamie: Well-roundedvsAnna Elmose: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Germaine de Randamie wins(70.7%)

Actual result: Germaine de Randamie wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Germaine de Randamie at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Germaine de Randamie has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Germaine de Randamie has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Germaine de Randamie
Red Corner
VS
Anna Elmose
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+325
(24%)
1497
Elo
1358
42
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'3"
180.34 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Germaine de Randamie
oldest →
W
vs Holly Holm · Feb 17
W
vs Raquel Pennington · Nov 18
L
vs Amanda Nunes · Dec 19
W
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Oct 20
L
vs Norma Dumont · Apr 24
latest
Anna Elmose
oldest →
L
vs Amanda Cooper · Nov 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Germaine de RandamieMetricAnna Elmose
2.57
Strikes / min
3.68
2.00
Strikes absorbed / min
4.64
65%
Strike defense
56%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
65%
Takedown defense
33%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.57Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap-0.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1515 vs 1500Strikes26.7 vs —Takedowns0.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form0.6 vs 0.0
Germaine de RandamieAnna Elmose

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Germaine de Randamie(10 fights)Anna Elmose(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +138.8|Blue -138.8
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red -48.3|Blue +48.3
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Germaine de RandamieTargetAnna Elmose

By target zone

9
47% acc · 50%
Head
2
67% acc · 33%
9
90% acc · 50%
Body
2
40% acc · 33%
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 33%

By position

7
44% acc · 39%
Distance
2
50% acc · 33%
11
85% acc · 61%
Clinch
4
67% acc · 67%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Germaine de Randamie rounds
0
even
0
Anna Elmose rounds
Round 1Germaine de Randamie edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:34
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:54Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
18 / 29
Sig Strikes
6 / 10
62%
Sig Str %
60%
23 / 34
Total Strikes
32 / 43
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 5
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:34
Ctrl Time
1:54

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Anna Elmose6 / 1032 / 430 / 50
1Germaine de Randamie18 / 2923 / 340 / 00

Germaine de Randamie

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9

Anna Elmose

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach—
Fights2