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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Gerald Meerschaert won · SUB R2

Elo1457

Elo1385

Gerald MeerschaertvsOskar PiechotaUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · Friday, July 6, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Gerald Meerschaert won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:55

Model Prediction: Oskar Piechota wins(66.1%)

Actual result: Gerald Meerschaert wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Oskar Piechota at -220 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Oskar Piechota enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Gerald Meerschaert threatens submissions; Oskar Piechota has lost 50% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Gerald Meerschaert

Red Corner

Oskar Piechota

Blue Corner

+180

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-220

(69%)

1457

Elo

1385

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'0"

195.58 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gerald MeerschaertL5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24

vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25

SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25

DECvs Jacob Malkoun · May 26

latest

Oskar PiechotaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jonathan Wilson · Oct 17

KOvs Tim Williams · Feb 18

SUBvs Rodolfo Vieira · Aug 19

KOvs Punahele Soriano · Dec 19

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gerald MeerschaertMetricOskar Piechota

2.95

Strikes / min

3.30

3.44

Strikes absorbed / min

3.93

53%

Strike defense

51%

1.70

TDs / 15 min

0.61

40%

Takedown defense

38%

1.50

Sub atts / 15 min

1.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.49evenly matched on net striking-0.63

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gerald MeerschaertOskar Piechota

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)Oskar Piechota(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +71.4|Blue -71.4

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +79.0|Blue -79.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gerald MeerschaertTargetOskar Piechota

By target zone

45% acc · 84%

Head

37% acc · 74%

86% acc · 12%

Body

75% acc · 13%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 13%

By position

21% acc · 18%

Distance

43% acc · 78%

71% acc · 39%

Clinch

43% acc · 13%

67% acc · 43%

Ground

50% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gerald Meerschaert rounds

even

Oskar Piechota rounds

Round 1Oskar Piechota edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:18

Knockdowns0

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:17Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Gerald Meerschaert edged it

Sig. strikes47

Takedowns3

Control2:12

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 104

Sig Strikes

23 / 53

40%

Sig Str %

47%

98 / 159

Total Strikes

31 / 63

3 / 4

TDs

1 / 1

75%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:30

Ctrl Time

3:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Oskar Piechota	10 / 17	16 / 25	1 / 1	1
1	Gerald Meerschaert	4 / 14	10 / 20	0 / 0	0
2	Oskar Piechota	13 / 36	15 / 38	0 / 0	1
2	Gerald Meerschaert	47 / 90	88 / 139	3 / 4	2

Gerald Meerschaert

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights25

Oskar Piechota

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights6