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Welterweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Georges St-Pierre won · U-DEC R5

Elo1491

Elo1354

Georges St-PierrevsJosh KoscheckUFC Prediction Result

UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · Saturday, December 11, 2010Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Georges St-Pierre won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupGeorges St-Pierre: WrestlervsJosh Koscheck: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Georges St-Pierre wins(72.0%)

Actual result: Georges St-Pierre wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Georges St-Pierre at -440 American odds

+$23 profit

$123 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Georges St-Pierre enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Josh Koscheck enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Georges St-Pierre has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Georges St-Pierre

Red Corner

Josh Koscheck

Blue Corner

-440

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+390

(20%)

1491

Elo

1354

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

193.04 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Georges St-PierreW5 streak

oldest →

vs Jake Shields · Apr 11

vs Carlos Condit · Nov 12

vs Nick Diaz · Mar 13

vs Johny Hendricks · Nov 13

SUBvs Michael Bisping · Nov 17

latest

Josh KoscheckL5 streak

oldest →

vs Johny Hendricks · May 12

KOvs Robbie Lawler · Feb 13

KOvs Tyron Woodley · Nov 13

SUBvs Jake Ellenberger · Feb 15

SUBvs Erick Silva · Mar 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Georges St-PierreMetricJosh Koscheck

3.78

Strikes / min

1.79

1.40

Strikes absorbed / min

2.27

72%

Strike defense

63%

4.16

TDs / 15 min

2.46

83%

Takedown defense

64%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.38Δ 2.86 — meaningful gap-0.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Georges St-PierreJosh Koscheck

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Georges St-Pierre(7 fights)Josh Koscheck(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +136.5|Blue -136.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Georges St-PierreTargetJosh Koscheck

By target zone

35% acc · 59%

Head

9% acc · 75%

28% acc · 5%

Body

67% acc · 25%

73% acc · 36%

Leg

By position

102

41% acc · 93%

Distance

8% acc · 63%

80% acc · 7%

Clinch

83% acc · 31%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Georges St-Pierre rounds

even

Josh Koscheck rounds

Round 1Georges St-Pierre edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control0:14

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:07Control

Round 2Georges St-Pierre edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Georges St-Pierre edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control1:54

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 4Georges St-Pierre edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control1:01

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 5Georges St-Pierre edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns2

Control1:36

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

110 / 259

Sig Strikes

16 / 134

42%

Sig Str %

10.4%

136 / 292

Total Strikes

30 / 148

4 / 9

TDs

1 / 4

49.8%

TD %

16.5%

Sub Att

Rev

4:45

Ctrl Time

1:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Josh Koscheck	5 / 25	7 / 27	1 / 3
1	Georges St-Pierre	20 / 48	26 / 55	1 / 3
2	Josh Koscheck	5 / 35	5 / 35	0 / 0
2	Georges St-Pierre	29 / 66	29 / 66	0 / 0
3	Josh Koscheck	5 / 33	11 / 39	0 / 0
3	Georges St-Pierre	19 / 44	36 / 65	0 / 2
4	Georges St-Pierre	20 / 54	21 / 55	1 / 1
4	Josh Koscheck	1 / 30	1 / 30	0 / 0
5	Josh Koscheck	0 / 11	6 / 17	0 / 1
5	Georges St-Pierre	22 / 47	24 / 51	2 / 3

Georges St-Pierre

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights7

Josh Koscheck

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights9