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Welterweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Georges St-Pierre won · S-DEC R5
Elo1491
Georges St-Pierre
Elo1362
Johny Hendricks

Georges St-PierrevsJohny HendricksUFC Prediction Result

UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · Saturday, November 16, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Georges St-Pierre won

S-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupGeorges St-Pierre: WrestlervsJohny Hendricks: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Georges St-Pierre wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Georges St-Pierre wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Georges St-Pierre at -192 American odds

+$52 profit

$152 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Georges St-Pierre enters on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Georges St-Pierre has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Georges St-Pierre has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).
  • Georges St-Pierre has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Georges St-Pierre
Red Corner
VS
Johny Hendricks
Blue Corner
-192
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+177
(36%)
1491
Elo
1362
45
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'9"
193.04 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Georges St-PierreW5 streak
oldest →
W
vs Josh Koscheck · Dec 10
W
vs Jake Shields · Apr 11
W
vs Carlos Condit · Nov 12
W
vs Nick Diaz · Mar 13
W
SUBvs Michael Bisping · Nov 17
latest
Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16
L
vs Neil Magny · Dec 16
W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17
L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17
L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Georges St-PierreMetricJohny Hendricks
3.78
Strikes / min
3.49
1.40
Strikes absorbed / min
3.99
72%
Strike defense
53%
4.16
TDs / 15 min
3.83
83%
Takedown defense
63%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.38Δ 2.88 — meaningful gap-0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1589 vs 1622Strikes57.6 vs 28.4Takedowns4.2 vs 3.3Sub Atts1.10 vs 0.45Form1.0 vs 1.0
Georges St-PierreJohny Hendricks

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Georges St-Pierre(7 fights)Johny Hendricks(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +128.4|Blue -128.4
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Georges St-PierreTargetJohny Hendricks

By target zone

47
35% acc · 47%
Head
58
36% acc · 68%
26
51% acc · 26%
Body
4
44% acc · 5%
28
82% acc · 28%
Leg
23
88% acc · 27%

By position

84
42% acc · 83%
Distance
52
34% acc · 61%
16
80% acc · 16%
Clinch
29
78% acc · 34%
1
100% acc · 1%
Ground
4
100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Georges St-Pierre rounds
1
even
2
Johny Hendricks rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control0:34
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:59Control
Round 2Johny Hendricks edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 3Georges St-Pierre edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:38Control
Round 4Johny Hendricks edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:24
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:07Control
Round 5Georges St-Pierre edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control1:54
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:06Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
101 / 221
Sig Strikes
85 / 194
45.2%
Sig Str %
45.6%
125 / 245
Total Strikes
142 / 252
3 / 6
TDs
2 / 4
50%
TD %
50%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:52
Ctrl Time
5:27

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Johny Hendricks18 / 2727 / 361 / 10
1Georges St-Pierre19 / 3826 / 451 / 21
2Johny Hendricks30 / 7237 / 790 / 00
2Georges St-Pierre28 / 6730 / 690 / 00
3Johny Hendricks15 / 5022 / 571 / 20
3Georges St-Pierre31 / 6432 / 650 / 00
4Georges St-Pierre14 / 2624 / 360 / 00
4Johny Hendricks18 / 3541 / 590 / 10
5Johny Hendricks4 / 1015 / 210 / 00
5Georges St-Pierre9 / 2613 / 302 / 40

Georges St-Pierre

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights7

Johny Hendricks

StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights19