Welterweight

3 Rounds

George Sullivan won · U-DEC R3

Elo1367

Elo1354

George SullivanvsMike RhodesUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · Saturday, January 25, 2014Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

George Sullivan won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGeorge Sullivan: Elusive strikervsMike Rhodes: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: George Sullivan wins(51.4%)

Actual result: George Sullivan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

George Sullivan at +255 American odds

+$255 profit

$355 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

George Sullivan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mike Rhodes has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

George Sullivan

Red Corner

Mike Rhodes

Blue Corner

+255

(28%)

Vegas Odds

-280

(74%)

1367

Elo

1354

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'1"

185.42 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

George SullivanL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Tim Means · Apr 15

vs Dominic Waters · Jul 15

KOvs Alexander Yakovlev · Jan 16

SUBvs Niko Price · Jan 18

SUBvs Mickey Gall · Aug 18

latest

Mike RhodesL2 streak

oldest →

vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 14

SUBvs Erick Silva · Dec 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

George SullivanMetricMike Rhodes

3.53

Strikes / min

3.20

2.42

Strikes absorbed / min

4.13

57%

Strike defense

64%

1.37

TDs / 15 min

0.96

38%

Takedown defense

75%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11Δ 2.04 — meaningful gap-0.93

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

George Sullivan(7 fights)Mike Rhodes(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +13.2|Blue -13.2

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

George SullivanTargetMike Rhodes

By target zone

23% acc · 48%

Head

37% acc · 51%

50% acc · 16%

Body

50% acc · 18%

76% acc · 36%

Leg

100% acc · 31%

By position

32% acc · 87%

Distance

48% acc · 90%

73% acc · 13%

Clinch

50% acc · 10%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

George Sullivan rounds

even

Mike Rhodes rounds

Round 1George Sullivan edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns2

Control0:52

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:59Control

Round 2Mike Rhodes edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:21

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:41Control

Round 3George Sullivan edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:27

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:52Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

61 / 177

Sig Strikes

51 / 105

33%

Sig Str %

45.7%

81 / 200

Total Strikes

57 / 112

2 / 14

TDs

2 / 4

13.3%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:40

Ctrl Time

2:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mike Rhodes	7 / 21	10 / 24	1 / 2	1
1	George Sullivan	12 / 42	21 / 52	2 / 5	0
2	Mike Rhodes	23 / 39	23 / 39	0 / 1	0
2	George Sullivan	16 / 64	21 / 70	0 / 5	0
3	Mike Rhodes	21 / 45	24 / 49	1 / 1	0
3	George Sullivan	33 / 71	39 / 78	0 / 4	0

George Sullivan

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7

Mike Rhodes

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights3