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Lightweight

5 Rounds

Ross Pearson won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1353

Elo1372

George SotiropoulosvsRoss PearsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · Friday, December 14, 2012Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia

Official fight result

Ross Pearson won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 0:41

Style matchupGeorge Sotiropoulos: WrestlervsRoss Pearson: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ross Pearson wins(57.2%)

Actual result: Ross Pearson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ross Pearson at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

George Sotiropoulos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ross Pearson has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

George Sotiropoulos

Red Corner

Ross Pearson

Blue Corner

+190

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-210

(68%)

1353

Elo

1372

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

George SotiropoulosL3 streak

oldest →

vs Kurt Pellegrino · Jul 10

SUBvs Joe Lauzon · Nov 10

vs Dennis Siver · Feb 11

KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jul 11

vs KJ Noons · Oct 13

latest

Ross PearsonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17

vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18

vs John Makdessi · Jul 18

KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

George SotiropoulosMetricRoss Pearson

2.61

Strikes / min

3.68

2.52

Strikes absorbed / min

4.09

67%

Strike defense

62%

2.32

TDs / 15 min

0.74

53%

Takedown defense

75%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

George SotiropoulosRoss Pearson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

George Sotiropoulos(6 fights)Ross Pearson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -19.2|Blue +19.2

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -2.2|Blue +2.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red +356.0|Blue -356.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

George SotiropoulosTargetRoss Pearson

By target zone

28% acc · 79%

Head

40% acc · 64%

43% acc · 18%

Body

92% acc · 24%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 12%

By position

29% acc · 91%

Distance

45% acc · 80%

43% acc · 9%

Clinch

82% acc · 18%

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

George Sotiropoulos rounds

even

Ross Pearson rounds

Round 1Ross Pearson edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control1:22

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 2Ross Pearson edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:07

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Ross Pearson edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 113

Sig Strikes

50 / 100

35.3%

Sig Str %

60%

35 / 114

Total Strikes

53 / 103

1 / 6

TDs

0 / 1

16.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:29

Ctrl Time

0:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ross Pearson	24 / 48	27 / 51	0 / 1
1	George Sotiropoulos	10 / 40	10 / 40	1 / 2
2	Ross Pearson	17 / 42	17 / 42	0 / 0
2	George Sotiropoulos	22 / 69	22 / 69	0 / 2
3	Ross Pearson	9 / 10	9 / 10	0 / 0
3	George Sotiropoulos	2 / 4	3 / 5	0 / 2

George Sotiropoulos

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Ross Pearson

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights23