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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rafael Dos Anjos won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1353
George Sotiropoulos
Elo1491
Rafael Dos Anjos

George SotiropoulosvsRafael Dos AnjosUFC Prediction Result

UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · Saturday, July 2, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Rafael Dos Anjos won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:59

Model Prediction: George Sotiropoulos wins(52.0%)

Actual result: Rafael Dos Anjos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

George Sotiropoulos at -215 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • George Sotiropoulos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Dos Anjos (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

George Sotiropoulos
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Dos Anjos
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
1353
Elo
1491
49
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

George SotiropoulosL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Kurt Pellegrino · Jul 10
W
SUBvs Joe Lauzon · Nov 10
L
vs Dennis Siver · Feb 11
L
KOvs Ross Pearson · Dec 12
L
vs KJ Noons · Oct 13
latest
Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22
W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22
L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23
L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24
L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

George SotiropoulosMetricRafael Dos Anjos
2.61
Strikes / min
3.48
2.52
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
67%
Strike defense
60%
2.32
TDs / 15 min
1.95
53%
Takedown defense
54%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.09evenly matched on net striking+0.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1518 vs 1500Strikes24.4 vs 28.5Takedowns1.9 vs 2.3Sub Atts1.50 vs 1.33Form0.1 vs -0.1
George SotiropoulosRafael Dos Anjos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
George Sotiropoulos(6 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -138.0|Blue +138.0
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -203.0|Blue +203.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

George SotiropoulosTargetRafael Dos Anjos

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
1
13% acc · 50%
1
33% acc · 50%
Body
0
1
33% acc · 50%
Leg
1
50% acc · 50%

By position

2
8% acc · 100%
Distance
2
20% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
George Sotiropoulos rounds
0
even
1
Rafael Dos Anjos rounds
Round 1Rafael Dos Anjos edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
2 / 24
Sig Strikes
2 / 10
8%
Sig Str %
20%
2 / 24
Total Strikes
2 / 10
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:03

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Rafael Dos Anjos2 / 102 / 100 / 00
1George Sotiropoulos2 / 242 / 240 / 00

George Sotiropoulos

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6

Rafael Dos Anjos

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32