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Lightweight

3 Rounds

George Sotiropoulos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1351

George SotiropoulosvsKurt PellegrinoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · Saturday, July 3, 2010Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

George Sotiropoulos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGeorge Sotiropoulos: WrestlervsKurt Pellegrino: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Kurt Pellegrino wins(60.0%)

Actual result: George Sotiropoulos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kurt Pellegrino at +148 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

George Sotiropoulos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Kurt Pellegrino has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

George Sotiropoulos

Red Corner

Kurt Pellegrino

Blue Corner

-158

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+148

(40%)

1353

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

George SotiropoulosL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Joe Lauzon · Nov 10

vs Dennis Siver · Feb 11

KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jul 11

KOvs Ross Pearson · Dec 12

vs KJ Noons · Oct 13

latest

Kurt Pellegrino

oldest →

SUBvs Fabricio Camoes · Mar 10

vs Gleison Tibau · Mar 11

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

George SotiropoulosMetricKurt Pellegrino

2.61

Strikes / min

2.45

2.52

Strikes absorbed / min

1.94

67%

Strike defense

63%

2.32

TDs / 15 min

2.90

53%

Takedown defense

69%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.09evenly matched on net striking+0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

George SotiropoulosKurt Pellegrino

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

George Sotiropoulos(6 fights)Kurt Pellegrino(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +48.5|Blue -48.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

George SotiropoulosTargetKurt Pellegrino

By target zone

30% acc · 96%

Head

34% acc · 85%

11% acc · 2%

Body

75% acc · 8%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

50% acc · 8%

By position

23% acc · 67%

Distance

31% acc · 69%

50% acc · 6%

Clinch

73% acc · 21%

87% acc · 27%

Ground

40% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

George Sotiropoulos rounds

even

Kurt Pellegrino rounds

Round 1George Sotiropoulos edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:22

Knockdowns1

14Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:57Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2George Sotiropoulos edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control3:49

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Kurt Pellegrino edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:35

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:14Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 162

Sig Strikes

39 / 108

33%

Sig Str %

37%

82 / 199

Total Strikes

68 / 141

1 / 2

TDs

3 / 3

50%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

4:46

Ctrl Time

3:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kurt Pellegrino	14 / 50	15 / 52	2 / 2
1	George Sotiropoulos	20 / 86	27 / 93	0 / 0
2	Kurt Pellegrino	8 / 22	12 / 26	0 / 0
2	George Sotiropoulos	12 / 27	26 / 43	1 / 2
3	Kurt Pellegrino	17 / 36	41 / 63	1 / 1
3	George Sotiropoulos	16 / 49	29 / 63	0 / 0

George Sotiropoulos

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Kurt Pellegrino

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights3