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Lightweight

3 Rounds

George Sotiropoulos won · SUB R2

Elo1353

Elo1492

George SotiropoulosvsJoe LauzonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · Saturday, November 20, 2010Auburn Hills, Michigan, USA

Official fight result

George Sotiropoulos won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:43

Style matchupGeorge Sotiropoulos: WrestlervsJoe Lauzon: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: George Sotiropoulos wins(70.6%)

Actual result: George Sotiropoulos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

George Sotiropoulos at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

George Sotiropoulos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
George Sotiropoulos has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

George Sotiropoulos

Red Corner

Joe Lauzon

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+205

(33%)

1353

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

George SotiropoulosL4 streak

oldest →

vs Kurt Pellegrino · Jul 10

vs Dennis Siver · Feb 11

KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jul 11

KOvs Ross Pearson · Dec 12

vs KJ Noons · Oct 13

latest

Joe Lauzon

oldest →

vs Marcin Held · Jan 17

vs Stevie Ray · Apr 17

KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17

KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18

KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

George SotiropoulosMetricJoe Lauzon

2.61

Strikes / min

2.84

2.52

Strikes absorbed / min

5.39

67%

Strike defense

54%

2.32

TDs / 15 min

2.39

53%

Takedown defense

54%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

2.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.09Δ 2.64 — meaningful gap-2.55

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

George SotiropoulosJoe Lauzon

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

George Sotiropoulos(6 fights)Joe Lauzon(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -139.3|Blue +139.3

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

George SotiropoulosTargetJoe Lauzon

By target zone

21% acc · 68%

Head

18% acc · 88%

67% acc · 32%

Body

100% acc · 13%

Leg

By position

24% acc · 74%

Distance

9% acc · 38%

33% acc · 16%

Clinch

86% acc · 38%

100% acc · 11%

Ground

50% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

George Sotiropoulos rounds

even

Joe Lauzon rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns2

Control1:47

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:44Control

Round 2George Sotiropoulos edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control1:36

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 70

Sig Strikes

16 / 79

29%

Sig Str %

14.5%

24 / 76

Total Strikes

24 / 89

3 / 11

TDs

0 / 0

26.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:23

Ctrl Time

0:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joe Lauzon	15 / 64	21 / 71	0 / 0	0
1	George Sotiropoulos	7 / 41	11 / 46	2 / 7	0
2	Joe Lauzon	1 / 15	3 / 18	0 / 0	0
2	George Sotiropoulos	12 / 29	13 / 30	1 / 4	2

George Sotiropoulos

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Joe Lauzon

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights20