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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Dennis Siver won · U-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1491

George SotiropoulosvsDennis SiverUFC Prediction Result

UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · Saturday, February 26, 2011Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Dennis Siver won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGeorge Sotiropoulos: WrestlervsDennis Siver: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: George Sotiropoulos wins(65.5%)

Actual result: Dennis Siver wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

George Sotiropoulos at -360 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

George Sotiropoulos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

George Sotiropoulos

Red Corner

Dennis Siver

Blue Corner

-360

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+325

(24%)

1353

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'6"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

George SotiropoulosL3 streak

oldest →

vs Kurt Pellegrino · Jul 10

SUBvs Joe Lauzon · Nov 10

KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jul 11

KOvs Ross Pearson · Dec 12

vs KJ Noons · Oct 13

latest

Dennis Siver

oldest →

KOvs Cub Swanson · Jul 13

vs Charles Rosa · Oct 14

KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 15

vs Tatsuya Kawajiri · Jun 15

vs BJ Penn · Jun 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

George SotiropoulosMetricDennis Siver

2.61

Strikes / min

3.87

2.52

Strikes absorbed / min

2.67

67%

Strike defense

65%

2.32

TDs / 15 min

0.87

53%

Takedown defense

65%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.09Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap+1.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

George SotiropoulosDennis Siver

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

George Sotiropoulos(6 fights)Dennis Siver(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.2|Blue +138.2

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

George SotiropoulosTargetDennis Siver

By target zone

16% acc · 74%

Head

22% acc · 54%

33% acc · 16%

Body

71% acc · 16%

40% acc · 11%

Leg

79% acc · 30%

By position

19% acc · 100%

Distance

31% acc · 91%

0% acc

Clinch

44% acc · 5%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

George Sotiropoulos rounds

even

Dennis Siver rounds

Round 1Dennis Siver edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:08

Knockdowns0

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

2Knockdowns

Round 2Dennis Siver edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Dennis Siver edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 204

Sig Strikes

74 / 226

18.3%

Sig Str %

31.7%

38 / 204

Total Strikes

79 / 231

0 / 13

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:08

Ctrl Time

0:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dennis Siver	24 / 70	29 / 75	0 / 0
1	George Sotiropoulos	9 / 46	9 / 46	0 / 5
2	Dennis Siver	16 / 73	16 / 73	0 / 0
2	George Sotiropoulos	14 / 76	14 / 76	0 / 3
3	Dennis Siver	34 / 83	34 / 83	0 / 0
3	George Sotiropoulos	15 / 82	15 / 82	0 / 5

George Sotiropoulos

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Dennis Siver

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights13