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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
George Roop won · U-DEC R3
Elo1355
Elo1352

George RoopvsReuben DuranUFC Prediction Result

UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · Saturday, March 16, 2013Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

George Roop won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Reuben Duran wins(64.7%)

Actual result: George Roop wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Reuben Duran at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • George Roop has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • George Roop has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

George Roop
Red Corner
VS
Reuben Duran
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
1355
Elo
1352
44
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

George RoopL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Brian Bowles · May 13
L
KOvs Francisco Rivera · Nov 13
W
vs Dustin Kimura · Apr 14
L
KOvs Rob Font · Jul 14
L
vs Takeya Mizugaki · Sep 15
latest
Reuben Duran
oldest →
L
vs Takeya Mizugaki · Mar 11
W
SUBvs Francisco Rivera · Jun 11
L
KOvs Hugo Viana · Dec 12
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

George RoopMetricReuben Duran
3.43
Strikes / min
3.19
2.47
Strikes absorbed / min
2.61
60%
Strike defense
50%
1.05
TDs / 15 min
0.98
59%
Takedown defense
25%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96evenly matched on net striking+0.58

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1468 vs 1485Strikes37.3 vs 39.0Takedowns0.4 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.67Form-0.6 vs -0.7
George RoopReuben Duran

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
George Roop(10 fights)Reuben Duran(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +3.4|Blue -3.4
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +322.0|Blue -322.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

George RoopTargetReuben Duran

By target zone

15
32% acc · 45%
Head
15
38% acc · 50%
14
67% acc · 42%
Body
11
92% acc · 37%
4
57% acc · 12%
Leg
4
100% acc · 13%

By position

8
18% acc · 24%
Distance
12
46% acc · 40%
14
74% acc · 42%
Clinch
11
73% acc · 37%
11
92% acc · 33%
Ground
7
47% acc · 23%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
George Roop rounds
1
even
1
Reuben Duran rounds
Round 1Reuben Duran edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:57Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control2:07
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:09Control
Round 3George Roop edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control2:18
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:26Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
33 / 75
Sig Strikes
30 / 56
45.3%
Sig Str %
60.7%
125 / 174
Total Strikes
56 / 82
2 / 3
TDs
1 / 6
75%
TD %
33.3%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
4:25
Ctrl Time
7:32

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Reuben Duran14 / 3328 / 471 / 10
1George Roop16 / 4241 / 690 / 00
2Reuben Duran6 / 1215 / 210 / 20
2George Roop5 / 1433 / 421 / 11
3Reuben Duran10 / 1113 / 140 / 30
3George Roop12 / 1951 / 631 / 20

George Roop

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10

Reuben Duran

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4