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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Francisco Rivera won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1355

Elo1358

George RoopvsFrancisco RiveraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · Wednesday, November 6, 2013Fort Campbell, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Francisco Rivera won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:20

Style matchupGeorge Roop: Well-roundedvsFrancisco Rivera: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Francisco Rivera wins(59.0%)

Actual result: Francisco Rivera wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Francisco Rivera at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Francisco Rivera enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Francisco Rivera is a KO finisher (75% of wins). George Roop has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

George Roop

Red Corner

Francisco Rivera

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1355

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

George RoopL2 streak

oldest →

vs Reuben Duran · Mar 13

KOvs Brian Bowles · May 13

vs Dustin Kimura · Apr 14

KOvs Rob Font · Jul 14

vs Takeya Mizugaki · Sep 15

latest

Francisco RiveraL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Urijah Faber · Dec 14

KOvs Alex Caceres · Jun 15

SUBvs John Lineker · Sep 15

vs Brad Pickett · Feb 16

vs Erik Perez · Jul 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

George RoopMetricFrancisco Rivera

3.43

Strikes / min

4.07

2.47

Strikes absorbed / min

3.16

60%

Strike defense

68%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

1.01

59%

Takedown defense

68%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.96evenly matched on net striking+0.91

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

George RoopFrancisco Rivera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

George Roop(10 fights)Francisco Rivera(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.2|Blue +2.2

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -112.0|Blue +112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

George RoopTargetFrancisco Rivera

By target zone

31% acc · 61%

Head

34% acc · 85%

45% acc · 22%

Body

50% acc · 4%

80% acc · 17%

Leg

75% acc · 11%

By position

33% acc · 70%

Distance

30% acc · 52%

58% acc · 30%

Clinch

50% acc · 30%

Ground

50% acc · 19%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

George Roop rounds

even

Francisco Rivera rounds

Round 1George Roop edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control2:20

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:42Control

Round 2Francisco Rivera edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 61

Sig Strikes

27 / 73

39%

Sig Str %

36%

29 / 68

Total Strikes

42 / 89

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 1

25%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:20

Ctrl Time

0:55

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Francisco Rivera	10 / 31	24 / 46	0 / 0
1	George Roop	11 / 36	17 / 43	1 / 4
2	Francisco Rivera	17 / 42	18 / 43	0 / 1
2	George Roop	12 / 25	12 / 25	0 / 0

George Roop

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10

Francisco Rivera

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights10