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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
George Roop won · U-DEC R3
Elo1355
Elo1354
Dustin Kimura

George RoopvsDustin KimuraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · Wednesday, April 16, 2014Quebec City, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

George Roop won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGeorge Roop: Well-roundedvsDustin Kimura: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Dustin Kimura wins(53.5%)

Actual result: George Roop wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dustin Kimura at +145 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • George Roop enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

George Roop
Red Corner
VS
Dustin Kimura
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
1355
Elo
1354
44
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

George RoopL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Reuben Duran · Mar 13
W
KOvs Brian Bowles · May 13
L
KOvs Francisco Rivera · Nov 13
L
KOvs Rob Font · Jul 14
L
vs Takeya Mizugaki · Sep 15
latest
Dustin Kimura
oldest →
W
SUBvs Chico Camus · Feb 13
L
SUBvs Mitch Gagnon · Sep 13
W
SUBvs Jon Delos Reyes · Jan 14
L
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

George RoopMetricDustin Kimura
3.43
Strikes / min
1.33
2.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.82
60%
Strike defense
51%
1.05
TDs / 15 min
0.93
59%
Takedown defense
50%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
2.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96Δ 3.45 — meaningful gap-2.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1487 vs 1516Strikes36.1 vs 10.7Takedowns0.6 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.10 vs 2.33Form-0.1 vs 0.3
George RoopDustin Kimura

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
George Roop(10 fights)Dustin Kimura(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red +59.0|Blue -59.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

George RoopTargetDustin Kimura

By target zone

43
45% acc · 81%
Head
3
12% acc · 43%
9
75% acc · 17%
Body
4
67% acc · 57%
1
50% acc · 2%
Leg
0

By position

15
29% acc · 28%
Distance
2
9% acc · 29%
3
30% acc · 6%
Clinch
3
60% acc · 43%
35
73% acc · 66%
Ground
2
50% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
George Roop rounds
1
even
0
Dustin Kimura rounds
Round 1George Roop edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control2:57
2Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:33Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:25
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:50Control
Round 3George Roop edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control4:43
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
53 / 109
Sig Strikes
7 / 31
48%
Sig Str %
30.7%
74 / 135
Total Strikes
19 / 45
2 / 2
TDs
3 / 6
100%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
8:05
Ctrl Time
2:23

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dustin Kimura2 / 93 / 102 / 40
1George Roop14 / 2924 / 401 / 10
2Dustin Kimura4 / 209 / 251 / 20
2George Roop11 / 3914 / 420 / 00
3Dustin Kimura1 / 27 / 100 / 00
3George Roop28 / 4136 / 531 / 10

George Roop

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10

Dustin Kimura

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5