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Middleweight

5 Rounds

Gegard Mousasi won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1491

Elo1430

Gegard MousasivsUriah HallUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · Saturday, November 19, 2016Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Gegard Mousasi won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:37

Style matchupGegard Mousasi: Submission grapplervsUriah Hall: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Gegard Mousasi wins(69.0%)

Actual result: Gegard Mousasi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gegard Mousasi at -560 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gegard Mousasi enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Gegard Mousasi has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Gegard Mousasi

Red Corner

Uriah Hall

Blue Corner

-560

(85%)

Vegas Odds

+430

(19%)

1491

Elo

1430

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gegard MousasiW4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Uriah Hall · Sep 15

vs Thales Leites · Feb 16

KOvs Thiago Santos · Jul 16

KOvs Vitor Belfort · Oct 16

KOvs Chris Weidman · Apr 17

latest

Uriah HallL2 streak

oldest →

vs Antonio Carlos Junior · Sep 19

KOvs Anderson Silva · Oct 20

KOvs Chris Weidman · Apr 21

vs Sean Strickland · Jul 21

vs Andre Muniz · Jul 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gegard MousasiMetricUriah Hall

3.75

Strikes / min

3.23

1.21

Strikes absorbed / min

3.85

68%

Strike defense

54%

1.59

TDs / 15 min

0.54

59%

Takedown defense

64%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.54Δ 3.16 — meaningful gap-0.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gegard MousasiUriah Hall

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gegard Mousasi(10 fights)Uriah Hall(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +61.0|Blue -61.0

Recent Form

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gegard MousasiTargetUriah Hall

By target zone

41% acc · 70%

Head

20% acc · 17%

100% acc · 5%

Body

50% acc · 8%

100% acc · 25%

Leg

69% acc · 75%

By position

44% acc · 40%

Distance

48% acc · 100%

Clinch

55% acc · 60%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gegard Mousasi rounds

even

Uriah Hall rounds

Round 1Gegard Mousasi edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control0:44

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 40

Sig Strikes

12 / 25

50%

Sig Str %

48%

20 / 40

Total Strikes

12 / 25

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:44

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Uriah Hall	12 / 25	12 / 25	0 / 0	0
1	Gegard Mousasi	20 / 40	20 / 40	1 / 2	0

Gegard Mousasi

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights12

Uriah Hall

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights20