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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Gavin Tucker won · Submission R3
Elo1472
Gavin Tucker
Elo1487
Seungwoo Choi

Gavin TuckervsSeungwoo ChoiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · Saturday, July 27, 2019Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Gavin Tucker won

Submission · Round 3 · 3:17

Model Prediction: Gavin Tucker wins(63.8%)

Actual result: Gavin Tucker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gavin Tucker at +120 American odds

+$120 profit

$220 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Gavin Tucker threatens submissions; Seungwoo Choi has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Gavin Tucker (53.5%).
  • Seungwoo Choi has a 22cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Gavin Tucker
Red Corner
VS
Seungwoo Choi
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
1472
Elo
1487
40
Age
26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
6'0"
167.64 cm
Reach
189.23 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gavin TuckerL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Rick Glenn · Sep 17
W
SUBvs Justin Jaynes · Aug 20
W
vs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 20
L
KOvs Dan Ige · Mar 21
L
SUBvs Diego Lopes · Aug 23
latest
Seungwoo Choi
oldest →
L
DECvs Movsar Evloev · Apr 19
W
DECvs Suman Mokhtarian · Dec 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gavin TuckerMetricSeungwoo Choi
4.29
Strikes / min
—
4.18
Strikes absorbed / min
—
57%
Strike defense
—
3.13
TDs / 15 min
—
53%
Takedown defense
—
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1484Strikes2.7 vs 3.3Takedowns2.1 vs 0.7Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.00Form-0.3 vs -1.0
Gavin TuckerSeungwoo Choi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Gavin Tucker(7 fights)Seungwoo Choi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -15.0|Blue +15.0
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +588.0|Blue -588.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Gavin Tucker

StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights7

Seungwoo Choi

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.5"
Fights1