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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Michal Oleksiejczuk won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1390

Elo1508

Michal Oleksiejczuk editorial illustration

Gadzhimurad AntigulovvsMichal OleksiejczukUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · Saturday, April 20, 2019Saint Petersburg, Saint Petersburg, Russia

Official fight result

Michal Oleksiejczuk won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:44

Style matchupGadzhimurad Antigulov: WrestlervsMichal Oleksiejczuk: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Michal Oleksiejczuk wins(69.1%)

Actual result: Michal Oleksiejczuk wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michal Oleksiejczuk at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Michal Oleksiejczuk is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Gadzhimurad Antigulov has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Gadzhimurad Antigulov threatens submissions; Michal Oleksiejczuk has lost 75% of fights by sub.
Michal Oleksiejczuk has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Michal Oleksiejczuk has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Michal Oleksiejczuk (53.5%).
Michal Oleksiejczuk has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

Red Corner

Michal Oleksiejczuk

Blue Corner

+180

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-220

(69%)

1390

Elo

1508

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'0"

177.8 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 16

SUBvs Joachim Christensen · May 17

KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Jul 18

SUBvs Paul Craig · Jul 20

KOvs Maxim Grishin · Oct 20

latest

Michal Oleksiejczuk

oldest →

vs Shara Magomedov · Aug 24

KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 25

KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 25

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Feb 26

SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovMetricMichal Oleksiejczuk

2.08

Strikes / min

5.85

4.21

Strikes absorbed / min

4.50

40%

Strike defense

59%

5.08

TDs / 15 min

1.02

Takedown defense

52%

1.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.13Δ 3.48 — meaningful gap+1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gadzhimurad AntigulovMichal Oleksiejczuk

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gadzhimurad Antigulov(6 fights)Michal Oleksiejczuk(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -117.8|Blue +117.8

Recent Form

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Striker Score

Red -4.7|Blue +4.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +210.0|Blue -210.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovTargetMichal Oleksiejczuk

By target zone

42% acc · 83%

Head

80% acc · 100%

100% acc · 17%

Body

Leg

By position

46% acc · 100%

Distance

60% acc · 38%

Clinch

100% acc · 13%

Ground

100% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov rounds

even

Michal Oleksiejczuk rounds

Round 1Michal Oleksiejczuk edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

3Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

6 / 13

Sig Strikes

8 / 10

46%

Sig Str %

80%

6 / 13

Total Strikes

8 / 10

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Michal Oleksiejczuk	8 / 10	8 / 10	0 / 0	0
1	Gadzhimurad Antigulov	6 / 13	6 / 13	0 / 2	0

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6

Michal Oleksiejczuk

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights18