Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Maxim Grishin won · KO/TKO

Elo1390

Elo1496

Gadzhimurad AntigulovvsMaxim GrishinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, October 17, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Maxim Grishin won

KO/TKO

Style matchupGadzhimurad Antigulov: WrestlervsMaxim Grishin: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Gadzhimurad Antigulov wins(75.0%)

Actual result: Maxim Grishin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gadzhimurad Antigulov at +277 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Maxim Grishin is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Gadzhimurad Antigulov has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Maxim Grishin has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Maxim Grishin has 66pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Maxim Grishin has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

Red Corner

Maxim Grishin

Blue Corner

+277

(27%)

Vegas Odds

-375

(79%)

1390

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'3"

177.8 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 16

SUBvs Joachim Christensen · May 17

KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Jul 18

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 19

SUBvs Paul Craig · Jul 20

latest

Maxim Grishin

oldest →

vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 20

vs Dustin Jacoby · Feb 21

vs William Knight · Feb 22

vs Philipe Lins · Jun 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovMetricMaxim Grishin

2.08

Strikes / min

3.26

4.21

Strikes absorbed / min

2.27

40%

Strike defense

58%

5.08

TDs / 15 min

0.21

Takedown defense

66%

1.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.13Δ 3.12 — meaningful gap+0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gadzhimurad AntigulovMaxim Grishin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gadzhimurad Antigulov(6 fights)Maxim Grishin(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -106.1|Blue +106.1

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovTargetMaxim Grishin

By target zone

33% acc · 42%

Head

33% acc · 59%

80% acc · 33%

Body

86% acc · 18%

100% acc · 25%

Leg

100% acc · 24%

By position

47% acc · 67%

Distance

49% acc · 65%

60% acc · 25%

Clinch

50% acc · 9%

100% acc · 8%

Ground

36% acc · 26%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov rounds

even

Maxim Grishin rounds

Round 1Maxim Grishin edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control1:13

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Maxim Grishin edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control1:26

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:21Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 23

Sig Strikes

34 / 76

53%

Sig Str %

50%

31 / 44

Total Strikes

66 / 126

1 / 5

TDs

1 / 1

12.5%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:39

Ctrl Time

2:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Maxim Grishin	11 / 18	17 / 24	0 / 0
1	Gadzhimurad Antigulov	6 / 10	18 / 22	0 / 1
2	Maxim Grishin	23 / 58	49 / 102	1 / 1
2	Gadzhimurad Antigulov	6 / 13	13 / 22	1 / 4

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6

Maxim Grishin

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights5